Good pick · fair odds 1.70 · bookmaker 1.83 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓59% · @1.83
Double chanceEither team to win ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.95
Middlesbrough vs Norwich preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Middlesbrough take on Norwich on Saturday 12 September, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Norwich sit 12th on 21 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Middlesbrough's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Crystal Palace 0–3 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Norwich's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Birmingham 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.8 for Middlesbrough and 1.1 for Norwich. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Middlesbrough to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.70, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Middlesbrough59%fair 1.70 · @1.83
Draw16%fair 6.22 · @3.80
Norwich25%fair 4.00 · @3.70
2.91Expected goals
1.84Middlesbrough xG
1.07Norwich xG
63%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
3–16%
0–16%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 1.8 – 1.1 Norwich expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
59%
1.70
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.45
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✓
35%
2.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.95
–
Form
Middlesbrough – last 6
LWDWWL
8 Sep
@ Crystal Palace
0–3
L
5 Sep
@ QPR
1–0
W
2 Sep
@ Burnley
1–1
D
29 Aug
vs West Brom
3–1
W
25 Aug
@ Doncaster
3–1
W
22 Aug
@ Blackburn
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Norwich – last 6
WWLWWL
9 Sep
vs Birmingham
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Sheffield Utd
3–1
W
1 Sep
@ Stoke City
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Burnley
4–1
W
25 Aug
@ Cardiff
2–1
W
22 Aug
@ Millwall
0–3
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Norwich.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Norwich?
Our pick is Middlesbrough to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Norwich?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Norwich 25%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Norwich?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Norwich?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 1–0 Norwich, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Norwich?
Middlesbrough vs Norwich (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
