Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultCardiff to win ✗42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.29
Bolton vs Cardiff preview and prediction
The match
Bolton host Cardiff in the Championship on Saturday 12 September, with kick-off at 12:30 (WAT) at Toughsheet Community Stadium. Bolton are 18th with 17 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Cardiff sit 14th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bolton's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to West Ham 2–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Cardiff's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Stoke City 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.4 for Bolton and 1.5 for Cardiff. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 64% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bolton 35%, draw 23%, Cardiff 42%.
Both teams to score: yes (64%) at 1.50.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 64% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Bolton 1–1 Cardiff. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bolton35%fair 2.88 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.40
Cardiff42%fair 2.36 · @2.45
2.92Expected goals
1.37Bolton xG
1.55Cardiff xG
64%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Bolton 1.4 – 1.5 Cardiff expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cardiff to win✗
42%
2.36
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.48
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cardiff / FT Cardiff✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.29
–
Form
Bolton – last 6
LLLLDW
8 Sep
vs West Ham
2–3
L
5 Sep
@ Millwall
0–4
L
1 Sep
@ Sheffield Utd
2–3
L
29 Aug
vs Lincoln
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ QPR
0–0
D
15 Aug
vs Preston
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cardiff – last 6
DLLDLD
8 Sep
vs Stoke City
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Portsmouth
0–2
L
2 Sep
@ QPR
1–2
L
29 Aug
vs Sheffield Utd
2–2
D
25 Aug
vs Norwich
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Derby
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bolton and Cardiff.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Bolton vs Cardiff?
On our numbers Bolton have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cardiff 42%.
How many goals will there be in Bolton vs Cardiff?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bolton vs Cardiff?
Our predicted score is Bolton 1–1 Cardiff, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Bolton vs Cardiff?
Bolton vs Cardiff (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Toughsheet Community Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
