Value bet: Sheffield Utd to win @ 2.48 – our chance 44% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultSheffield Utd to win ✗44% · @2.48
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.45
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham preview and prediction
The match
Birmingham travel to Bramall Lane in the Championship on Saturday 15 August (17:30 WAT) to face Sheffield Utd. Sheffield Utd are 10th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while Birmingham sit 1st on 29 points (top of the table).
Form guide
Sheffield Utd's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Mansfield Town 3–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 0.3 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Birmingham's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Swansea 1–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Sheffield Utd and 1.2 for Birmingham. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 58%.
Value angle: Sheffield Utd to win at 2.48 – 44% on our numbers against 40% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Sheffield Utd 1–1 Birmingham. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sheffield Utd44%fair 2.27 · @2.48
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @3.30
Birmingham34%fair 2.94 · @2.76
2.57Expected goals
1.39Sheffield Utd xG
1.18Birmingham xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sheffield Utd 1.4 – 1.2 Birmingham expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sheffield Utd to win✗
44%
2.27
2.48 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sheffield Utd / FT Sheffield Utd✗
24%
4.09
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.45
–
Form
Sheffield Utd – last 6
WDWWWD
9 Aug
@ Mansfield Town
3–0
W
1 Aug
@ VfL Bochum
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Rotherham
2–0
W
21 Jul
vs Huddersfield
3–1
W
17 Jul
@ Levante
2–1
W
11 Jul
@ Chesterfield
0–0
D
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Birmingham – last 6
WDWWWW
8 Aug
@ Swansea
1–0
W
31 Jul
vs Barcelona
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Crewe
2–1
W
22 Jul
@ Burton Albion
1–0
W
15 Jul
@ Solihull Moors
3–0
W
10 Jul
vs Huddersfield
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sheffield Utd and Birmingham.
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
On our numbers Sheffield Utd have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Birmingham 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Our predicted score is Sheffield Utd 1–1 Birmingham, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham?
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Bramall Lane.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
