Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Norwich to win @ 1.92 – our chance 62% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultNorwich to win ✗62% · @1.92
Double chanceNorwich or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30
Norwich vs West Brom preview and prediction
The match
West Brom travel to Carrow Road in the Championship on Saturday 15 August (15:00 WAT) to face Norwich. Norwich are 12th with 21 points from 15 games (in the top half), while West Brom sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Norwich's last 5: WDLDW Most recently they beat Milton Keynes Dons 4–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
West Brom's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Rotherham 4–1 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game.
West Brom arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Norwich and 0.8 for West Brom. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Norwich 62%, draw 20%, West Brom 18%.
Safer route: Norwich or draw (82%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Norwich to win at 1.92 – 62% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Norwich or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.22, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Norwich 1–0 West Brom. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Norwich62%fair 1.62 · @1.92
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @3.50
West Brom18%fair 5.55 · @3.80
2.65Expected goals
1.81Norwich xG
0.83West Brom xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Norwich 1.8 – 0.8 West Brom expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Norwich to win✗
62%
1.62
1.92 ▲
Double chance
Norwich or draw✗
82%
1.22
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Norwich ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Norwich / FT Norwich✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.30
–
Form
Norwich – last 6
WDLDWD
8 Aug
vs Milton Keynes Dons
4–1
W
4 Aug
vs Cambridge United
0–0
D
1 Aug
vs Osasuna
1–2
L
22 Jul
@ AFC Wimbledon
0–0
D
17 Jul
@ FC ST. Gallen
3–0
W
11 Jul
vs Colchester
0–0
D
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
West Brom – last 6
WWWWWL
8 Aug
@ Rotherham
4–1
W
1 Aug
@ Peterborough
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Shrewsbury
4–1
W
17 Jul
vs Bromley
4–1
W
11 Jul
@ Sheffield Wednesday
3–0
W
2 May
@ Sheffield Wednesday
1–2
L
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Norwich and West Brom.
Our pick is Norwich or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Norwich vs West Brom?
On our numbers Norwich have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 20% and West Brom 18%.
How many goals will there be in Norwich vs West Brom?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Norwich vs West Brom?
Our predicted score is Norwich 1–0 West Brom, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Norwich vs West Brom?
Norwich vs West Brom (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Carrow Road.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
