Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 56% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMiddlesbrough to win ✓66% · @1.31
Double chanceMiddlesbrough or draw ✓89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.30
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln preview and prediction
The match
The Championship sees Middlesbrough take on Lincoln on Saturday 15 August, kicking off at 15:00 (WAT) at Riverside Stadium. Middlesbrough are 2nd with 29 points from 15 games (in the top four), while Lincoln sit 21st on 15 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Middlesbrough's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Wrexham 1–0 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Lincoln's last 5: WLWLL Most recently they beat Derby 2–1 away. On the road they have won 3 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Middlesbrough and 0.8 for Lincoln. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 57% and both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Middlesbrough 66%, draw 23%, Lincoln 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.00 – 56% on our numbers against 50% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Middlesbrough 2–0 Lincoln. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Middlesbrough66%fair 1.51 · @1.31
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @4.80
Lincoln11%fair 9.17 · @10.25
2.98Expected goals
2.16Middlesbrough xG
0.82Lincoln xG
56%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–09%
3–17%
From our goals model: Middlesbrough 2.2 – 0.8 Lincoln expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Middlesbrough to win✓
66%
1.51
1.31
Double chance
Middlesbrough or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.55
1.48
Half-time result
Middlesbrough ahead at half-time✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Middlesbrough / FT Middlesbrough✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.30
–
Form
Middlesbrough – last 6
WDDLDD
7 Aug
vs Wrexham
1–0
W
1 Aug
vs Espanyol
3–3
D
18 Jul
@ Celtic
1–1
D
23 May
@ Hull City
0–1
L
12 May
@ Southampton
1–1
D
9 May
vs Southampton
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Lincoln – last 6
WLWLLW
8 Aug
@ Derby
2–1
W
1 Aug
@ Barnsley
0–3
L
1 Aug
@ Doncaster
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Grimsby
1–5
L
17 Jul
vs Leyton Orient
0–2
L
11 Jul
@ Boston United
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Middlesbrough and Lincoln.
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
On our numbers Middlesbrough have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lincoln 11%.
How many goals will there be in Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Our predicted score is Middlesbrough 2–0 Lincoln, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Middlesbrough vs Lincoln?
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Riverside Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
