Value bet: QPR to win @ 3.05 – our chance 37% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortsmouth to win ✗40% · @2.26
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.97
Portsmouth vs QPR preview and prediction
The match
Portsmouth host QPR in the Championship on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Fratton Park. Portsmouth are 11th with 22 points from 15 games (in the top half), while QPR sit 8th on 24 points (in the top half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Portsmouth's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to West Ham 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
QPR's last 5: DWWWW Most recently they drew with Millwall 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 3.0 goals a game.
QPR arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Portsmouth and 1.3 for QPR. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portsmouth 40%, draw 24%, QPR 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.73.
Value angle: QPR to win at 3.05 – 37% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Portsmouth 1–1 QPR. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portsmouth40%fair 2.53 · @2.26
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
QPR37%fair 2.73 · @3.05
2.61Expected goals
1.34Portsmouth xG
1.27QPR xG
57%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Portsmouth 1.3 – 1.3 QPR expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portsmouth to win✗
40%
2.53
2.26
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.75
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.94
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portsmouth / FT Portsmouth✗
22%
4.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Portsmouth – last 6
LDDLDL
8 Aug
@ West Ham
1–3
L
1 Aug
@ SV Darmstadt 98
0–0
D
29 Jul
@ Farnborough
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Wycombe
1–3
L
18 Jul
@ Bristol Rovers
1–1
D
15 Jul
@ Aldershot Town
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
QPR – last 6
DWWWWW
8 Aug
vs Millwall
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ AFC Wimbledon
3–2
W
31 Jul
@ Bromley
7–0
W
25 Jul
vs Fiorentina
3–2
W
21 Jul
vs Wycombe
1–0
W
16 Jul
@ SC Wiener Neustadt
3–1
W
3.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portsmouth and QPR.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Portsmouth vs QPR?
On our numbers Portsmouth have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and QPR 37%.
How many goals will there be in Portsmouth vs QPR?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs QPR?
Our predicted score is Portsmouth 1–1 QPR, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Portsmouth vs QPR?
Portsmouth vs QPR (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Fratton Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
