Bristol City host Millwall in the Championship on Saturday 15 August, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Ashton Gate Stadium. Bristol City are 17th with 18 points from 15 games (in the bottom half), while Millwall sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bristol City's last 5: LDDWL Most recently they lost to Walsall 0–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Millwall's last 5: DWDLL Most recently they drew with QPR 1–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 5. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.3 for Bristol City and 1.3 for Millwall. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 61%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bristol City 37%, draw 24%, Millwall 39%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Bristol City 1–1 Millwall. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bristol City37%fair 2.70 · @2.56
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.35
Millwall39%fair 2.55 · @2.62
2.65Expected goals
1.30Bristol City xG
1.35Millwall xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Bristol City 1.3 – 1.3 Millwall expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Millwall to win✓
39%
2.55
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.63
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Millwall / FT Millwall✓
22%
4.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.97
–
Form
Bristol City – last 6
LDDWLW
6 Aug
vs Walsall
0–1
L
1 Aug
@ Exeter City
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Plymouth
0–0
D
29 Jul
vs Newcastle
4–1
W
29 Jul
@ Forest Green
2–3
L
25 Jul
@ Swindon Town
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Millwall – last 6
DWDLLW
8 Aug
@ QPR
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Antwerp
1–0
W
28 Jul
@ Bromley
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Stevenage
0–1
L
21 Jul
@ Gillingham
0–1
L
17 Jul
@ Eldense
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bristol City and Millwall.
What is the prediction for Bristol City vs Millwall?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Bristol City vs Millwall?
On our numbers Bristol City have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Millwall 39%.
How many goals will there be in Bristol City vs Millwall?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bristol City vs Millwall?
Our predicted score is Bristol City 1–1 Millwall, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Bristol City vs Millwall?
Bristol City vs Millwall (Championship) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ashton Gate Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
