Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 1.85 – our chance 60% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✗60% · @1.85
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.77
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy travel to Japan National Stadium in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October (11:00 WAT) to face Yokohama F. Marinos. Yokohama F. Marinos are 7th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Tokyo Verdy sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5: DWDWW Most recently they drew with JEF United Chiba 0–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LLDDL Most recently they lost to FC Tokyo 0–4 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Yokohama F. Marinos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.5.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Tokyo Verdy 0–6 Yokohama F. Marinos. Across their last 2 meetings Yokohama F. Marinos have won 2, Tokyo Verdy 0, with 0 draws and 5.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Yokohama F. Marinos and 0.6 for Tokyo Verdy. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 62% likely, and at least one clean sheet is more likely than not.
Betting angles
Win chances: Yokohama F. Marinos 60%, draw 24%, Tokyo Verdy 15%.
Safer route: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (57%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Yokohama F. Marinos to win at 1.85 – 60% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yokohama F. Marinos or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Tokyo Verdy. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Yokohama F. Marinos60%fair 1.66 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.25
Tokyo Verdy15%fair 6.46 · @4.00
2.20Expected goals
1.56Yokohama F. Marinos xG
0.64Tokyo Verdy xG
43%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Yokohama F. Marinos 1.6 – 0.6 Tokyo Verdy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
On our numbers Yokohama F. Marinos have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Tokyo Verdy 15%.
How many goals will there be in Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Our predicted score is Yokohama F. Marinos 1–0 Tokyo Verdy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy?
Yokohama F. Marinos vs Tokyo Verdy (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Japan National Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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