Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Fagiano Okayama to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFagiano Okayama to win ✓59% · @1.75
Double chanceFagiano Okayama or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.29
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock preview and prediction
The match
Mito Hollyhock travel to JFE Harenokuni Stadium in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October (11:00 WAT) to face Fagiano Okayama. Fagiano Okayama are 6th with 26 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Mito Hollyhock sit 9th on 18 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Fagiano Okayama's last 5: LDLWW Most recently they lost to Vissel Kobe 0–3 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Mito Hollyhock's last 5: LWLWL Most recently they lost to Urawa 0–1 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Fagiano Okayama and 0.8 for Mito Hollyhock. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 51%.
Safer route: Fagiano Okayama or draw (85%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fagiano Okayama to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Mito Hollyhock. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Fagiano Okayama59%fair 1.69 · @1.75
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @3.40
Mito Hollyhock15%fair 6.58 · @4.50
2.65Expected goals
1.82Fagiano Okayama xG
0.83Mito Hollyhock xG
51%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Fagiano Okayama 1.8 – 0.8 Mito Hollyhock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fagiano Okayama to win✓
59%
1.69
1.75
Double chance
Fagiano Okayama or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Fagiano Okayama ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fagiano Okayama / FT Fagiano Okayama✗
38%
2.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.29
–
Form
Fagiano Okayama – last 6
LDLWWL
18 Oct
vs Vissel Kobe
0–3
L
14 Oct
@ Nagoya Grampus
3–3
D
10 Oct
@ Avispa Fukuoka
1–2
L
7 Oct
vs JEF United Chiba
1–0
W
29 Sep
@ Consadole Sapporo
2–1
W
19 Sep
vs Kyoto Sanga
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Mito Hollyhock – last 6
LWLWLL
17 Oct
vs Urawa
0–1
L
14 Oct
vs FC Tokyo
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Shimizu S-pulse
1–2
L
29 Sep
@ Fukushima United
7–0
W
19 Sep
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Kawasaki Frontale
0–1
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fagiano Okayama and Mito Hollyhock.
What is the prediction for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our pick is Fagiano Okayama to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
On our numbers Fagiano Okayama have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mito Hollyhock 15%.
How many goals will there be in Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Our predicted score is Fagiano Okayama 1–0 Mito Hollyhock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock?
Fagiano Okayama vs Mito Hollyhock (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at JFE Harenokuni Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Kyoto Sanga2
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Shimizu S-pulse0
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0