Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia prediction & analysis
58%
Footrivo pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.72 · bookmaker 1.80 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMachida Zelvia to win ✓46% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.54
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia preview and prediction
The match
The J1 League sees Shimizu S-pulse take on Machida Zelvia on Wednesday 21 October, kicking off at 11:00 (WAT) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Machida Zelvia sit 3rd on 37 points (in the top four). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: DLWDW Most recently they drew with Gamba Osaka 2–2 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Machida Zelvia's last 5: WWWDW Most recently they beat Avispa Fukuoka 3–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.2 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.6 for Machida Zelvia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 58%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.72, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Machida Zelvia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse32%fair 3.15 · @3.25
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.20
Machida Zelvia46%fair 2.16 · @2.10
2.80Expected goals
1.24Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.56Machida Zelvia xG
58%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
0–27%
2–17%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.2 – 1.6 Machida Zelvia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Machida Zelvia to win✓
46%
2.16
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Machida Zelvia / FT Machida Zelvia✓
27%
3.74
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.54
–
Form
Shimizu S-pulse – last 6
DLWDWW
17 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–2
D
14 Oct
@ Yokohama F. Marinos
1–2
L
11 Oct
@ Mito Hollyhock
2–1
W
7 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
1–1
D
29 Sep
@ Kanazawa
2–0
W
19 Sep
vs JEF United Chiba
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Machida Zelvia – last 6
WWWDWL
18 Oct
vs Avispa Fukuoka
3–0
W
15 Oct
@ Tampines Rovers
1–0
W
10 Oct
@ Kyoto Sanga
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Kyoto Sanga
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Tochigi City
2–1
W
20 Sep
vs Kashiwa Reysol
2–4
L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Shimizu S-pulse and Machida Zelvia.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Machida Zelvia 46%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Machida Zelvia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Machida Zelvia (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Kyoto Sanga2
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama2
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0