Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Kashiwa Reysol to win @ 3.25 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✗44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.62
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol preview and prediction
The match
FC Tokyo host Kashiwa Reysol in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. FC Tokyo are 2nd with 37 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kashiwa Reysol sit 8th on 20 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 17 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Tokyo's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Tokyo Verdy 4–0 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: LWWDW Most recently they lost to Nagoya Grampus 1–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 3.5 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished Kashiwa Reysol 1–3 FC Tokyo. Across their last 2 meetings FC Tokyo have won 1, Kashiwa Reysol 1, with 0 draws and 3.0 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for FC Tokyo and 1.6 for Kashiwa Reysol. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 65%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Tokyo 44%, draw 21%, Kashiwa Reysol 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (65%) at 1.62.
Value angle: Kashiwa Reysol to win at 3.25 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 65% chance at odds of 1.62, above our fair price of 1.55, so there is value in it. Predicted score: FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Tokyo44%fair 2.30 · @2.05
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.30
Kashiwa Reysol35%fair 2.82 · @3.25
3.40Expected goals
1.80FC Tokyo xG
1.60Kashiwa Reysol xG
65%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
2–05%
From our goals model: FC Tokyo 1.8 – 1.6 Kashiwa Reysol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
On our numbers FC Tokyo have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kashiwa Reysol 35%.
How many goals will there be in FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
Our predicted score is FC Tokyo 1–1 Kashiwa Reysol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol?
FC Tokyo vs Kashiwa Reysol (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Kyoto Sanga2
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama2
Shimizu S-pulse0
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0