V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima prediction & analysis
66%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✗66% · @1.44
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✗86% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–2 ✗11% · fair 8.89
V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima preview and prediction
The match
V-varen Nagasaki host Sanfrecce Hiroshima in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank. V-varen Nagasaki are 9th with 21 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Sanfrecce Hiroshima sit 4th on 30 points (in the top four).
Form guide
V-varen Nagasaki's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Kashima 0–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Kyoto Sanga 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game. 6 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 18 April 2026, finished Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 V-varen Nagasaki.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 0.9 for V-varen Nagasaki and 2.1 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 58% of our simulations. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
V-varen Nagasaki14%fair 7.28 · @5.50
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @4.50
Sanfrecce Hiroshima66%fair 1.53 · @1.44
3.00Expected goals
0.87V-varen Nagasaki xG
2.13Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
58%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–19%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: V-varen Nagasaki 0.9 – 2.1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
On our numbers V-varen Nagasaki have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sanfrecce Hiroshima 66%.
How many goals will there be in V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
Our predicted score is V-varen Nagasaki 0–2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima?
V-varen Nagasaki vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Peace Stadium connected by SoftBank.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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