Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Kashima to win @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashima to win ✗56% · @1.95
Double chanceKashima or draw ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.36
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima preview and prediction
The match
Kashima travel to Sanga Stadium by Kyocera in the J1 League on Wednesday 21 October (11:00 WAT) to face Kyoto Sanga. Kyoto Sanga are 8th with 23 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Kashima sit 1st on 45 points (top of the table). A gap of 22 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Kyoto Sanga's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima's last 5: WWWWD Most recently they beat V-varen Nagasaki 2–0 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 3.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kashima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 1.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.3 for Kyoto Sanga and 2.1 for Kashima. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 65% and both teams to score at 64%.
Value angle: Kashima to win at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashima or draw – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Kyoto Sanga 1–2 Kashima. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kyoto Sanga22%fair 4.62 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Kashima56%fair 1.80 · @1.95
3.35Expected goals
1.26Kyoto Sanga xG
2.09Kashima xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
0–17%
1–37%
2–26%
From our goals model: Kyoto Sanga 1.3 – 2.1 Kashima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashima to win✗
56%
1.80
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Kashima or draw✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.67 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Kashima ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashima / FT Kashima✗
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.36
–
Form
Kyoto Sanga – last 6
LWLDWW
17 Oct
@ Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–3
L
13 Oct
vs Ratchaburi
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Machida Zelvia
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ Machida Zelvia
0–0
D
23 Sep
vs Fujieda MYFC
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Fagiano Okayama
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Kashima – last 6
WWWWDW
17 Oct
vs V-varen Nagasaki
2–0
W
13 Oct
@ Công An Nhân Dân
1–0
W
9 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
2–0
W
23 Sep
vs Ventforet Kofu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ Kawasaki Frontale
3–3
D
15 Sep
vs Newcastle Jets
7–1
W
3.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kyoto Sanga and Kashima.
What is the prediction for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
Our pick is Kashima or draw with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
On our numbers Kyoto Sanga have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kashima 56%.
How many goals will there be in Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
Our predicted score is Kyoto Sanga 1–2 Kashima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima?
Kyoto Sanga vs Kashima (J1 League) kicks off on Wednesday 21 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sanga Stadium by Kyocera.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Avispa Fukuoka1
Gamba Osaka2
Vissel Kobe1
Nagoya Grampus1
Cerezo Osaka1
Fagiano Okayama2
Shimizu S-pulse0
V-varen Nagasaki4
Sanfrecce Hiroshima0