Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Tokyo to win ✓67% · @1.67
Double chanceFC Tokyo or draw ✓89% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.51
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo preview and prediction
The match
Tokyo Verdy host FC Tokyo in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Ajinomoto Stadium. Tokyo Verdy are 5th with 28 points from 18 games (in the top half), while FC Tokyo sit 2nd on 37 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Tokyo Verdy's last 5: LDDLD Most recently they lost to Sanfrecce Hiroshima 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
FC Tokyo's last 5: LWWWW Most recently they lost to Mito Hollyhock 0–1 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Tokyo arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.0.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 10 May 2026, finished FC Tokyo 2–1 Tokyo Verdy.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 0.6 for Tokyo Verdy and 1.8 for FC Tokyo. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 51%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Tokyo Verdy 11%, draw 21%, FC Tokyo 67%.
Safer route: FC Tokyo or draw (89%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.95.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was FC Tokyo to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.67, above our fair price of 1.48, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Tokyo Verdy 0–1 FC Tokyo. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Tokyo Verdy11%fair 8.81 · @5.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
FC Tokyo67%fair 1.48 · @1.67
2.39Expected goals
0.58Tokyo Verdy xG
1.81FC Tokyo xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–117%
0–215%
1–110%
0–09%
0–39%
1–29%
From our goals model: Tokyo Verdy 0.6 – 1.8 FC Tokyo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our pick is FC Tokyo to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
On our numbers Tokyo Verdy have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Tokyo 67%.
How many goals will there be in Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Our predicted score is Tokyo Verdy 0–1 FC Tokyo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo?
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Ajinomoto Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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