JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Yokohama F. Marinos or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.29 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.29Odds
2
Value bet: Yokohama F. Marinos to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultYokohama F. Marinos to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceYokohama F. Marinos or draw ✓85% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.14
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos preview and prediction
The match
JEF United Chiba host Yokohama F. Marinos in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Fukuda Denshi Arena. JEF United Chiba are 10th with 12 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Yokohama F. Marinos sit 7th on 20 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
JEF United Chiba's last 5: DLLLD Most recently they drew with V-varen Nagasaki 1–1 at home. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Yokohama F. Marinos's last 5: WDWWW Most recently they beat Shimizu S-pulse 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.7 conceded.
Yokohama F. Marinos arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 April 2026, finished JEF United Chiba 2–3 Yokohama F. Marinos. Across their last 2 meetings JEF United Chiba have won 0, Yokohama F. Marinos 2, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for JEF United Chiba and 1.9 for Yokohama F. Marinos. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: JEF United Chiba 15%, draw 26%, Yokohama F. Marinos 59%.
Safer route: Yokohama F. Marinos or draw (85%) at 1.29.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Yokohama F. Marinos to win at 1.95 – 59% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Yokohama F. Marinos or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.29, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: JEF United Chiba 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
JEF United Chiba15%fair 6.75 · @3.50
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @3.30
Yokohama F. Marinos59%fair 1.69 · @1.95
2.72Expected goals
0.86JEF United Chiba xG
1.86Yokohama F. Marinos xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%
From our goals model: JEF United Chiba 0.9 – 1.9 Yokohama F. Marinos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our pick is Yokohama F. Marinos or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.29.
Who will win JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
On our numbers JEF United Chiba have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Yokohama F. Marinos 59%.
How many goals will there be in JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
Our predicted score is JEF United Chiba 0–1 Yokohama F. Marinos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos?
JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Fukuda Denshi Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Gamba Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kyoto Sanga0
Cerezo Osaka2
V-varen Nagasaki0
Nagoya Grampus3