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J1 League · Japan · Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
3–0
FT

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga prediction & analysis

65%
Footrivo pick

Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.35Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga preview and prediction

The match

Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kyoto Sanga sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom three).

Form guide

Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Matsumoto Yamaga 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Kyoto Sanga's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Ratchaburi 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Kyoto Sanga 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Across their last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1, Kyoto Sanga 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.9 for Kyoto Sanga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Sanfrecce Hiroshima65%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.80
Kyoto Sanga14%fair 7.33 · @7.00
3.06Expected goals
2.16Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.90Kyoto Sanga xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%

From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 – 0.9 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓65%1.531.35
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86%1.161.08
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗59%1.681.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81%1.24–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.69–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓63%1.58–
Half-time resultSanfrecce Hiroshima ahead at half-time ✗48%2.07–
Half-time / full-timeHT Sanfrecce Hiroshima / FT Sanfrecce Hiroshima ✗43%2.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.16–

Form

Sanfrecce Hiroshima – last 6

WWWWWW
14 Oct@ Matsumoto Yamaga1–0W
11 Oct@ Tokyo Verdy2–0W
7 Octvs Iwaki4–0W
29 Sep@ Tochigi City2–0W
19 Sep@ Avispa Fukuoka1–0W
12 Sepvs Cerezo Osaka6–1W
2.7Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Kyoto Sanga – last 6

WLDWWL
13 Octvs Ratchaburi1–0W
10 Octvs Machida Zelvia0–1L
3 Oct@ Machida Zelvia0–0D
23 Sepvs Fujieda MYFC1–0W
19 Sep@ Fagiano Okayama2–1W
15 Sep@ Daejeon Citizen0–1L
0.7Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Kyoto Sanga v Sanfrecce Hiroshima0–4
27 Feb 2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Kyoto Sanga1–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga head-to-head page →

J1 League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Vissel Kobe181107+435
2Cerezo Osaka181107+931
3Nagoya Grampus181008+231
4Sanfrecce Hiroshima181008+830
5Gamba Osaka181008+628
6Fagiano Okayama188010-326
7Shimizu S-pulse188010-224
8Kyoto Sanga188010-623
9V-varen Nagasaki187011-821
10Avispa Fukuoka187011-1021

More J1 League predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.

Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kyoto Sanga 14%.

How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?

Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.