Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanfrecce Hiroshima to win ✓65% · @1.35
Double chanceSanfrecce Hiroshima or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga preview and prediction
The match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima host Kyoto Sanga in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October, with kick-off at 06:00 (WAT) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima. Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th with 30 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Kyoto Sanga sit 8th on 23 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Sanfrecce Hiroshima's last 5: WWWWW Most recently they beat Matsumoto Yamaga 1–0 away. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game. 5 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Kyoto Sanga's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Ratchaburi 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 3.0 points a game against 1.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 17 May 2026, finished Kyoto Sanga 0–4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima. Across their last 2 meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima have won 1, Kyoto Sanga 1, with 0 draws and 3.5 goals per game; both teams scored in 1 of them.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for Sanfrecce Hiroshima and 0.9 for Kyoto Sanga. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 59% and both teams to score at 59%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Sanfrecce Hiroshima65%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.79 · @4.80
Kyoto Sanga14%fair 7.33 · @7.00
3.06Expected goals
2.16Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
0.90Kyoto Sanga xG
59%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2.2 – 0.9 Kyoto Sanga expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our pick is Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
On our numbers Sanfrecce Hiroshima have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Kyoto Sanga 14%.
How many goals will there be in Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
Our predicted score is Sanfrecce Hiroshima 2–0 Kyoto Sanga, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga?
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.