Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus prediction & analysis
63%
Footrivo pick
Kashiwa Reysol to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultKashiwa Reysol to win ✗63% · @1.57
Double chanceKashiwa Reysol or draw ✗83% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.17
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus preview and prediction
The match
Nagoya Grampus travel to Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October (11:00 WAT) to face Kashiwa Reysol. Kashiwa Reysol are 8th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Nagoya Grampus sit 3rd on 31 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Kashiwa Reysol's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Port FC 5–1 at home. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. Goals have not been a problem: 3.5 per game.
Nagoya Grampus's last 5: DWWLL Most recently they drew with Fagiano Okayama 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Kashiwa Reysol arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.3 goals: 2.2 for Kashiwa Reysol and 1.1 for Nagoya Grampus. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 64% and both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kashiwa Reysol 63%, draw 20%, Nagoya Grampus 17%.
Safer route: Kashiwa Reysol or draw (83%) at 1.17.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kashiwa Reysol to win – a 63% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Nagoya Grampus. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kashiwa Reysol63%fair 1.59 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.04 · @4.00
Nagoya Grampus17%fair 5.83 · @4.80
3.28Expected goals
2.21Kashiwa Reysol xG
1.07Nagoya Grampus xG
61%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kashiwa Reysol 2.2 – 1.1 Nagoya Grampus expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kashiwa Reysol to win✗
63%
1.59
1.57
Double chance
Kashiwa Reysol or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Kashiwa Reysol ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kashiwa Reysol / FT Kashiwa Reysol✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.17
–
Form
Kashiwa Reysol – last 6
WWDWWL
14 Oct
vs Port FC
5–1
W
9 Oct
vs Vissel Kobe
4–2
W
3 Oct
vs Gamba Osaka
3–3
D
23 Sep
vs Imabari
4–0
W
20 Sep
@ Machida Zelvia
4–2
W
16 Sep
@ Jeonbuk Motors
1–2
L
3.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Nagoya Grampus – last 6
DWWLLL
14 Oct
vs Fagiano Okayama
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Kawasaki Frontale
2–1
W
29 Sep
@ Kitakyushu
3–1
W
19 Sep
@ FC Tokyo
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ V-varen Nagasaki
0–2
L
6 Sep
vs Machida Zelvia
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kashiwa Reysol and Nagoya Grampus.
What is the prediction for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our pick is Kashiwa Reysol to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
On our numbers Kashiwa Reysol have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nagoya Grampus 17%.
How many goals will there be in Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Our predicted score is Kashiwa Reysol 2–1 Nagoya Grampus, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus?
Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Shimizu S-pulse2
Gamba Osaka2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima3
Kyoto Sanga0
Cerezo Osaka2
V-varen Nagasaki0