Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka preview and prediction
The match
Gamba Osaka travel to IAI Stadium Nihondaira in the J1 League on Saturday 17 October (05:00 WAT) to face Shimizu S-pulse. Shimizu S-pulse are 7th with 24 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Gamba Osaka sit 5th on 28 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Shimizu S-pulse's last 5: LWDWW Most recently they lost to Yokohama F. Marinos 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Gamba Osaka's last 5: WLDWL Most recently they beat Newcastle Jets 3–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 24 May 2026, finished Shimizu S-pulse 1–2 Gamba Osaka.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for Shimizu S-pulse and 1.0 for Gamba Osaka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 55%.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Shimizu S-pulse46%fair 2.18 · @2.25
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.20
Gamba Osaka32%fair 3.12 · @3.00
2.28Expected goals
1.28Shimizu S-pulse xG
1.00Gamba Osaka xG
55%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Shimizu S-pulse 1.3 – 1.0 Gamba Osaka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
On our numbers Shimizu S-pulse have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Gamba Osaka 32%.
How many goals will there be in Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Our predicted score is Shimizu S-pulse 1–1 Gamba Osaka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka?
Shimizu S-pulse vs Gamba Osaka (J1 League) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 05:00 (West Africa Time) at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.