Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.83 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.83Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultVelež to win ✗62% · @1.83
Double chanceVelež or draw ✓86% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.91
Velež vs Milsami Orhei preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Velež take on Milsami Orhei on Thursday 9 July, kicking off at 18:00 (WAT) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Form guide
Velež's last 5: LLDLW Most recently they lost to Zrinjski 0–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Milsami Orhei's last 5: LDDLL Most recently they lost to Petrocub 0–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.0 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Velež arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.6 for Velež and 0.6 for Milsami Orhei. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Our pre-match pick was Velež to win – a 62% chance at odds of 1.83, above our fair price of 1.60, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Velež 1–0 Milsami Orhei. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Velež62%fair 1.60 · @1.83
Draw24%fair 4.23 · @3.25
Milsami Orhei14%fair 7.13 · @4.10
2.28Expected goals
1.65Velež xG
0.63Milsami Orhei xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Velež 1.6 – 0.6 Milsami Orhei expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Velež to win✗
62%
1.60
1.83 ▲
Double chance
Velež or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.53
1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.55
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Velež / FT Velež✗
38%
2.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.91
–
Form
Velež – last 6
LLDLWW
26 May
@ Zrinjski
0–3
L
21 May
vs FK Sarajevo
2–3
L
13 May
vs Zrinjski
1–1
D
6 May
@ Zrinjski
0–1
L
1 May
vs Radnik Bijeljina
1–0
W
21 Apr
vs Siroki Brijeg
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Milsami Orhei – last 6
LDDLLD
4 Jul
@ Petrocub
0–5
L
27 Jun
vs Zimbru
0–0
D
17 May
vs Sheriff Tiraspol
0–0
D
13 May
vs Zimbru
0–1
L
6 May
@ Zimbru
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Spartanii Selemet
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Velež and Milsami Orhei.
What is the prediction for Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
Our pick is Velež to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
On our numbers Velež have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Milsami Orhei 14%.
How many goals will there be in Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
Our predicted score is Velež 1–0 Milsami Orhei, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Velež vs Milsami Orhei?
Velež vs Milsami Orhei (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Rodjeni.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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