Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFK Liepaja to win ✓59% · @1.65
Double chanceEither team to win ✓80% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.83
FK Liepaja vs Dečić preview and prediction
The match
The UEFA Europa Conference League sees FK Liepaja take on Dečić on Thursday 9 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Daugavas stadions.
Form guide
FK Liepaja's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to BFC Daugavpils 1–3 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Dečić's last 5: LLLWD Most recently they lost to Mornar 0–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for FK Liepaja and 0.8 for Dečić. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FK Liepaja 59%, draw 20%, Dečić 20%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: FK Liepaja 1–0 Dečić. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FK Liepaja59%fair 1.68 · @1.65
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @3.35
Dečić20%fair 4.90 · @5.10
2.38Expected goals
1.60FK Liepaja xG
0.78Dečić xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–012%
1–112%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: FK Liepaja 1.6 – 0.8 Dečić expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FK Liepaja to win✓
59%
1.68
1.65
Double chance
Either team to win✓
80%
1.25
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.05
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
67%
1.48
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FK Liepaja / FT FK Liepaja✗
35%
2.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.83
–
Form
FK Liepaja – last 6
LWLLLW
4 Jul
@ BFC Daugavpils
1–3
L
30 Jun
vs Ogre United
4–0
W
26 Jun
vs Rīgas FS
0–2
L
21 Jun
@ Riga
0–4
L
16 Jun
@ Grobiņa
0–1
L
12 Jun
vs Super Nova
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Dečić – last 6
LLLWDW
28 May
vs Mornar
0–1
L
24 May
@ Bokelj
0–1
L
20 May
vs Arsenal Tivat
1–2
L
6 May
vs Otrant-Olympic
1–0
W
26 Apr
vs Buducnost Podgorica
0–0
D
22 Apr
@ Otrant-Olympic
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FK Liepaja and Dečić.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win FK Liepaja vs Dečić?
On our numbers FK Liepaja have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Dečić 20%.
How many goals will there be in FK Liepaja vs Dečić?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FK Liepaja vs Dečić?
Our predicted score is FK Liepaja 1–0 Dečić, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is FK Liepaja vs Dečić?
FK Liepaja vs Dečić (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Daugavas stadions.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2
Mornar1
Alashkert1
Yelimay Semey1
Dila3
Virtus1
Hegelmann Litauen1
Paide1
Kalju Nomme1
Linfield0
Dinamo Minsk0
Sileks1
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan3
Velež1
Milsami Orhei1