Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Kalju Nomme to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultKalju Nomme to win ✓61% · @1.95
Double chanceKalju Nomme or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.40
Kalju Nomme vs Linfield preview and prediction
The match
Kalju Nomme host Linfield in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 9 July, with kick-off at 17:00 (WAT) at Hiiu Stadium.
Form guide
Kalju Nomme's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Nõmme United 3–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Linfield's last 5: LWWLD Most recently they lost to Kilmarnock 2–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Linfield arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.8 for Kalju Nomme and 0.8 for Linfield. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Kalju Nomme 61%, draw 21%, Linfield 18%.
Safer route: Kalju Nomme or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Kalju Nomme to win at 1.95 – 61% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Kalju Nomme or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Kalju Nomme 1–0 Linfield. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Kalju Nomme61%fair 1.64 · @1.95
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.30
Linfield18%fair 5.55 · @3.45
2.58Expected goals
1.76Kalju Nomme xG
0.81Linfield xG
58%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Kalju Nomme 1.8 – 0.8 Linfield expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Kalju Nomme to win✓
61%
1.64
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Kalju Nomme or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.75
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.28
Half-time result
Kalju Nomme ahead at half-time✗
42%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Kalju Nomme / FT Kalju Nomme✗
37%
2.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.40
–
Form
Kalju Nomme – last 6
WDDLDL
3 Jul
@ Nõmme United
3–1
W
28 Jun
vs Paide
1–1
D
20 Jun
@ FC Levadia Tallinn
1–1
D
17 Jun
vs Tammeka
1–2
L
14 Jun
vs Paide
1–1
D
30 May
@ Vaprus
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Linfield – last 6
LWWLDW
4 Jul
vs Kilmarnock
2–3
L
12 May
vs Dungannon Swifts
3–1
W
7 Apr
@ Dungannon Swifts
3–1
W
20 Mar
@ Carrick Rangers
0–2
L
15 Mar
@ Glentoran
0–0
D
10 Mar
vs Portadown
3–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Kalju Nomme and Linfield.
What is the prediction for Kalju Nomme vs Linfield?
Our pick is Kalju Nomme or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kalju Nomme vs Linfield?
On our numbers Kalju Nomme have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Linfield 18%.
How many goals will there be in Kalju Nomme vs Linfield?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kalju Nomme vs Linfield?
Our predicted score is Kalju Nomme 1–0 Linfield, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Kalju Nomme vs Linfield?
Kalju Nomme vs Linfield (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Hiiu Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.