Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar prediction & analysis
79%
Footrivo pick
Mornar or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.48 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.48Odds
X
Value bet: Draw @ 3.20 – our chance 57% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +82%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDraw ✗57% · @3.20
Double chanceMornar or draw ✗79% · @1.48
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓58% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–1 ✗13% · fair 7.78
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar preview and prediction
The match
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes host Mornar in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 9 July, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Estadi Comunal.
Form guide
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat FC Santa Coloma 3–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mornar's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Dečić 1–0 away. On the road they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mornar arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.7 points a game against 2.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and 1.3 for Mornar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 21%, draw 57%, Mornar 22%.
Safer route: Mornar or draw (79%) at 1.48.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Draw at 3.20 – 57% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Mornar or draw – a 79% chance at odds of 1.48, above our fair price of 1.27, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1–1 Mornar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes21%fair 4.70 · @2.55
Draw57%fair 1.76 · @3.20
Mornar22%fair 4.57 · @2.55
2.49Expected goals
1.24Atlètic Club d'Escaldes xG
1.25Mornar xG
58%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1.2 – 1.3 Mornar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Draw✗
57%
1.76
3.20 ▲
Double chance
Mornar or draw✗
79%
1.27
1.48 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mornar / FT Mornar✗
21%
4.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–1✗
13%
7.78
–
Form
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes – last 6
WWLWWD
23 May
@ FC Santa Coloma
3–2
W
17 May
vs Penya Encarnada
2–0
W
10 May
@ Inter Club d'Escaldes
1–3
L
30 Apr
vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
2–1
W
26 Apr
vs Carroi
3–0
W
22 Mar
vs Ordino
0–0
D
1.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mornar – last 6
WWDWWW
28 May
@ Dečić
1–0
W
24 May
@ Jezero
2–0
W
20 May
vs Petrovac
1–1
D
6 May
@ Jezero
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Mladost DG
2–1
W
22 Apr
vs Jezero
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atlètic Club d'Escaldes and Mornar.
What is the prediction for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?
Our pick is Mornar or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?
On our numbers Atlètic Club d'Escaldes have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 57% and Mornar 22%.
How many goals will there be in Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?
Our predicted score is Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 1–1 Mornar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar?
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes vs Mornar (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadi Comunal.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Alashkert1
Yelimay Semey1
FK Liepaja1
Dečić0
Dila3
Virtus1
Hegelmann Litauen1
Paide1
Kalju Nomme1
Linfield0
Dinamo Minsk0
Sileks1
Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan3
Velež1
Milsami Orhei1