Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan prediction & analysis
85%
Footrivo pick
Pyunik Yerevan or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Pyunik Yerevan to win @ 1.85 – our chance 63% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPyunik Yerevan to win ✓63% · @1.85
Double chancePyunik Yerevan or draw ✓85% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.69
Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan preview and prediction
The match
Pyunik Yerevan travel to Marsaxlokk Ground in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 9 July (18:00 WAT) to face Marsaxlokk.
Form guide
Marsaxlokk's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Gzira United 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Pyunik Yerevan's last 5: WWLWW Most recently they beat Van 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Pyunik Yerevan arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.7 for Marsaxlokk and 1.8 for Pyunik Yerevan. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%.
Safer route: Pyunik Yerevan or draw (85%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Pyunik Yerevan to win at 1.85 – 63% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Pyunik Yerevan or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.22, above our fair price of 1.18, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Marsaxlokk 0–1 Pyunik Yerevan. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Marsaxlokk15%fair 6.66 · @3.90
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.25
Pyunik Yerevan63%fair 1.60 · @1.85
2.49Expected goals
0.72Marsaxlokk xG
1.77Pyunik Yerevan xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–213%
1–111%
1–29%
0–08%
0–38%
From our goals model: Marsaxlokk 0.7 – 1.8 Pyunik Yerevan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pyunik Yerevan to win✓
63%
1.60
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Pyunik Yerevan or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Pyunik Yerevan ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pyunik Yerevan / FT Pyunik Yerevan✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.69
–
Form
Marsaxlokk – last 6
WLDLDW
19 Apr
vs Gzira United
2–1
W
15 Apr
vs Floriana
1–3
L
8 Mar
vs Naxxar Lions
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ Hamrun Spartans
0–2
L
18 Feb
@ Floriana
0–0
D
15 Feb
vs Hibernians
2–1
W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Pyunik Yerevan – last 6
WWLWWD
27 May
vs Van
2–1
W
18 May
@ Gandzasar
2–0
W
6 May
@ Ararat-Armenia
0–1
L
23 Apr
vs FC Urartu
2–1
W
6 Apr
@ Shirak
1–0
W
1 Apr
@ FC Noah
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Marsaxlokk and Pyunik Yerevan.
What is the prediction for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our pick is Pyunik Yerevan or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
On our numbers Marsaxlokk have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Pyunik Yerevan 63%.
How many goals will there be in Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Our predicted score is Marsaxlokk 0–1 Pyunik Yerevan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan?
Marsaxlokk vs Pyunik Yerevan (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Marsaxlokk Ground.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2
Mornar1
Alashkert1
Yelimay Semey1
FK Liepaja1
Dečić0
Dila3
Virtus1
Hegelmann Litauen1
Paide1
Kalju Nomme1
Linfield0
Dinamo Minsk0
Sileks1
Velež1
Milsami Orhei1