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Today's tips
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Raudondvario stadionas

Hegelmann Litauen

DLDDL
1–1
FT

Paide

WDWWD

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide prediction & analysis

81%
Footrivo pick

Hegelmann Litauen or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.33Odds
X

Value bet: Draw @ 3.30 – our chance 56% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +86%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultDraw ✓56% · @3.30
Double chanceHegelmann Litauen or draw ✓81% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6% · fair 17.59

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide preview and prediction

The match

The UEFA Europa Conference League sees Hegelmann Litauen take on Paide on Thursday 9 July, kicking off at 17:00 (WAT) at Raudondvario stadionas.

Form guide

Hegelmann Litauen's last 5: DLDDL Most recently they drew with Panevėžys 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.

Paide's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Vaprus 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Paide arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for Hegelmann Litauen and 1.3 for Paide. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 61%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Hegelmann Litauen or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.33, above our fair price of 1.24, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Hegelmann Litauen24%fair 4.13 · @2.25
Draw56%fair 1.77 · @3.30
Paide19%fair 5.17 · @2.80
2.75Expected goals
1.43Hegelmann Litauen xG
1.32Paide xG
61%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Hegelmann Litauen 1.4 – 1.3 Paide expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDraw ✓56%1.773.30 ▲
Double chanceHegelmann Litauen or draw ✓81%1.241.33 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.62
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.35
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Hegelmann Litauen / FT Hegelmann Litauen ✗23%4.31–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–2 ✗6%17.59–

Form

Hegelmann Litauen – last 6

DLDDLW
4 Jul@ Panevėžys1–1D
28 Jun@ Banga0–2L
17 Junvs Džiugas Telšiai1–1D
14 Junvs Kauno Žalgiris1–1D
29 May@ TransINVEST Vilnius1–2L
24 May@ FK Zalgiris Vilnius3–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Paide – last 6

WDWWDD
4 Julvs Vaprus3–1W
28 Jun@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
21 Jun@ Flora Tallinn2–1W
17 Junvs Laagri1–0W
14 Jun@ Kalju Nomme1–1D
31 Mayvs Kuressaare1–1D
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Hegelmann Litauen and Paide.

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2 Mornar1 121%2.55X57%3.20222%2.55 X2Mornar or draw 79%@1.48 ✗
FT Alashkert1 Yelimay Semey1 127%2.10X56%3.10217%3.30 1XAlashkert or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja1 Dečić0 159%1.65X20%3.35220%5.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 168%1.12X21%6.00211%21.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✗
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 161%1.95X21%3.30218%3.45 1XKalju Nomme or draw 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 169%1.48X20%3.70210%6.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Marsaxlokk0 Pyunik Yerevan3 115%3.90X22%3.25263%1.85 X2Pyunik Yerevan or draw 85%@1.22 ✓
FT Velež1 Milsami Orhei1 162%1.83X24%3.25214%4.10 1Velež to win 62%@1.83 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

Our pick is Hegelmann Litauen or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

On our numbers Hegelmann Litauen have a 24% chance of winning, the draw 56% and Paide 19%.

How many goals will there be in Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

Our predicted score is Hegelmann Litauen 1–1 Paide, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide?

Hegelmann Litauen vs Paide (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Raudondvario stadionas.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.