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Today's tips
UEFA Europa Conference League · Europe · Cardiff City Stadium

Penybont

LLL
0–1
FT

FC Santa Coloma

LLDWW

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma prediction & analysis

75%
Footrivo pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.33 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: FC Santa Coloma to win @ 2.25 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Quick tips for this match

ResultFC Santa Coloma to win ✓51% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.50

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma preview and prediction

The match

Penybont host FC Santa Coloma in the UEFA Europa Conference League on Thursday 9 July, with kick-off at 19:45 (WAT) at Cardiff City Stadium.

Form guide

Penybont's last 3: LLL Most recently they lost to Barry Town 0–2 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.

FC Santa Coloma's last 5: LLDWW Most recently they lost to Atlètic Club d'Escaldes 2–3 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

FC Santa Coloma arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.0.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.1 for Penybont and 1.6 for FC Santa Coloma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 60%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Penybont 1–1 FC Santa Coloma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Penybont28%fair 3.59 · @2.80
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.40
FC Santa Coloma51%fair 1.95 · @2.25
2.75Expected goals
1.11Penybont xG
1.63FC Santa Coloma xG
60%Both score
52%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–112%
0–110%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
2–16%

From our goals model: Penybont 1.1 – 1.6 FC Santa Coloma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultFC Santa Coloma to win ✓51%1.952.25 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗60%1.651.65
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.331.25
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗52%1.931.80
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓70%1.441.35
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT FC Santa Coloma / FT FC Santa Coloma ✓30%3.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.50–

Form

Penybont – last 3

LLL
3 Aprvs Barry Town0–2L
3 Mar@ Barry Town0–1L
21 Feb@ Colwyn Bay1–3L
0.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

FC Santa Coloma – last 6

LLDWWW
23 Mayvs Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2–3L
10 Mayvs Ordino0–1L
30 Aprvs UE Santa Coloma0–0D
19 Aprvs Esperança d'Andorra4–0W
13 Mar@ Ranger's1–0W
8 Marvs Inter Club d'Escaldes3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Penybont and FC Santa Coloma.

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma head-to-head page →

More UEFA Europa Conference League predictions

League hub
FT Atlètic Club d'Escaldes2 Mornar1 121%2.55X57%3.20222%2.55 X2Mornar or draw 79%@1.48 ✗
FT Alashkert1 Yelimay Semey1 127%2.10X56%3.10217%3.30 1XAlashkert or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT FK Liepaja1 Dečić0 159%1.65X20%3.35220%5.10 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✓
FT Dila3 Virtus1 168%1.12X21%6.00211%21.00 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 61%@1.53 ✗
FT Hegelmann Litauen1 Paide1 124%2.25X56%3.30219%2.80 1XHegelmann Litauen or draw 81%@1.33 ✓
FT Kalju Nomme1 Linfield0 161%1.95X21%3.30218%3.45 1XKalju Nomme or draw 82%@1.22 ✓
FT Dinamo Minsk0 Sileks1 169%1.48X20%3.70210%6.40 U3.5Under 3.5 goals 75%@1.25 ✓
FT Marsaxlokk0 Pyunik Yerevan3 115%3.90X22%3.25263%1.85 X2Pyunik Yerevan or draw 85%@1.22 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

On our numbers Penybont have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and FC Santa Coloma 51%.

How many goals will there be in Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

Our predicted score is Penybont 1–1 FC Santa Coloma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma?

Penybont vs FC Santa Coloma (UEFA Europa Conference League) kicks off on Thursday 9 July 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Cardiff City Stadium.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.