Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
1
Value bet: FC OSS to win @ 2.05 – our chance 53% vs 49% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC OSS to win ✗53% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.59
FC OSS vs Jong Ajax preview and prediction
The match
FC OSS host Jong Ajax in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Frans Heesen Stadion. FC OSS are 10th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Jong Ajax sit 18th on 0 points (in the bottom three). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
FC OSS's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Den Bosch 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Jong Ajax's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat De Graafschap 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 13 April 2026, finished Jong Ajax 1–2 FC OSS.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.0 for FC OSS and 1.4 for Jong Ajax. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 67% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC OSS 53%, draw 20%, Jong Ajax 27%.
Both teams to score: yes (67%) at 1.40.
Value angle: FC OSS to win at 2.05 – 53% on our numbers against 49% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 67% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: FC OSS 1–1 Jong Ajax. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC OSS53%fair 1.89 · @2.05
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @3.50
Jong Ajax27%fair 3.75 · @3.10
3.36Expected goals
2.00FC OSS xG
1.36Jong Ajax xG
67%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–19%
2–19%
1–07%
2–07%
1–26%
2–26%
From our goals model: FC OSS 2.0 – 1.4 Jong Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win FC OSS vs Jong Ajax?
On our numbers FC OSS have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Jong Ajax 27%.
How many goals will there be in FC OSS vs Jong Ajax?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC OSS vs Jong Ajax?
Our predicted score is FC OSS 1–1 Jong Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is FC OSS vs Jong Ajax?
FC OSS vs Jong Ajax (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Frans Heesen Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.