NAC Breda host Heracles in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at Rat Verlegh Stadion. NAC Breda are 13th with 0 points from 0 games (in the bottom half), while Heracles sit 16th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
NAC Breda's last 5: WWDWW Most recently they beat Helmond Sport 2–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Heracles's last 5: WWDWL Most recently they beat MVV 5–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.5 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 4.1 goals: 2.0 for NAC Breda and 2.1 for Heracles. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 77% and both teams to score at 69%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 69% chance at odds of 1.40. Predicted score: NAC Breda 2–2 Heracles. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
NAC Breda38%fair 2.65 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.40
Heracles40%fair 2.53 · @2.62
4.09Expected goals
2.02NAC Breda xG
2.07Heracles xG
69%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–27%
1–27%
2–17%
1–17%
2–35%
1–35%
From our goals model: NAC Breda 2.0 – 2.1 Heracles expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Heracles to win✗
40%
2.53
2.62
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.29
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.45
1.40
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
–
Half-time result
Heracles ahead at half-time✗
34%
2.93
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Heracles / FT Heracles✗
25%
4.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
7%
13.82
–
Form
NAC Breda – last 6
WWDWWL
16 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
2–0
W
9 Oct
vs MVV
1–0
W
3 Oct
@ Vitesse
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs FC Eindhoven
4–2
W
20 Sep
@ De Graafschap
2–1
W
11 Sep
vs Jong Utrecht
2–3
L
2.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Heracles – last 6
WWDWLW
18 Oct
@ MVV
5–1
W
9 Oct
vs Waalwijk
3–0
W
2 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
2–2
D
26 Sep
vs Vitesse
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Almere City FC
0–1
L
11 Sep
vs Jong AZ
3–2
W
2.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NAC Breda and Heracles.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win NAC Breda vs Heracles?
On our numbers NAC Breda have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Heracles 40%.
How many goals will there be in NAC Breda vs Heracles?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NAC Breda vs Heracles?
Our predicted score is NAC Breda 2–2 Heracles, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is NAC Breda vs Heracles?
NAC Breda vs Heracles (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Rat Verlegh Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
