Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · GelreDomeVitesse vs Emmen prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Vitesse 1.8 – 1.6 Emmen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Vitesse and Emmen on our numbers – 42% for the home side, 35% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Vitesse have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.3 per game. Emmen have 10 points from their last 6 (3W 1D 2L), averaging 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 3.4 goals (1.8 for Vitesse, 1.6 for Emmen). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (10%), 2–1 (9%), 1–2 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Vitesse have won 0, Emmen have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 6.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 66% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.51.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Vitesse to win ✗ | 42% | 2.38 | 2.20 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 77% | 1.29 | 1.29 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✗ | 66% | 1.51 | 1.44 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 85% | 1.18 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals ✗ | 65% | 1.53 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✓ | 57% | 1.76 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 37% | 2.70 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Vitesse / FT Vitesse ✗ | 25% | 3.93 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 ✗ | 9% | 11.60 | – |
Form
Vitesse – last 6
| 16 Oct | @ FC Eindhoven | 1–0 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ FC Volendam | 0–2 | L |
| 3 Oct | vs NAC Breda | 2–2 | D |
| 26 Sep | @ Heracles | 0–2 | L |
| 19 Sep | vs Jong PSV U21 | 3–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | @ Roda | 0–1 | L |
Emmen – last 6
| 17 Oct | vs Almere City FC | 2–1 | W |
| 9 Oct | @ Dordrecht | 3–0 | W |
| 3 Oct | @ Waalwijk | 1–1 | D |
| 26 Sep | vs FC OSS | 1–0 | W |
| 18 Sep | @ FC Eindhoven | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Sep | vs De Graafschap | 1–2 | L |
Head to head
| 3 Apr 2026 | Vitesse v Emmen | 3–3 |
Eerste Divisie table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Heracles | 14 | +29 | 35 |
| 2 |  VVV Venlo | 14 | +15 | 29 |
| 3 |  Almere City FC | 14 | +16 | 28 |
| 4 |  NAC Breda | 14 | +5 | 25 |
| 5 |  Roda | 14 | +1 | 25 |
| 6 |  Emmen | 14 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 |  FC Volendam | 14 | +9 | 22 |
| 8 |  MVV | 14 | -10 | 20 |
| 9 |  Den Bosch | 14 | +2 | 19 |
| 10 |  Vitesse | 13 | -1 | 18 |
| 11 |  Waalwijk | 14 | +3 | 17 |
| 12 |  Jong AZ | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 13 |  Jong PSV U21 | 14 | -4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Jong Ajax | 14 | -8 | 16 |
| 15 |  De Graafschap | 13 | -10 | 15 |
| 16 |  FC OSS | 14 | -3 | 14 |
| 17 |  Helmond Sport | 14 | -6 | 12 |
| 18 |  Dordrecht | 14 | -16 | 12 |
| 19 |  Jong Utrecht | 14 | -11 | 11 |
| 20 |  FC Eindhoven | 14 | -13 | 11 |
More Eerste Divisie predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Vitesse vs Emmen?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Vitesse vs Emmen?
On our numbers Vitesse have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Emmen 35%.
How many goals will there be in Vitesse vs Emmen?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
When is Vitesse vs Emmen?
Vitesse vs Emmen (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at GelreDome.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.