Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlmere City FC to win ✗57% · @1.85
Double chanceAlmere City FC or draw ✗81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.93
Almere City FC vs Roda preview and prediction
The match
Roda travel to Yanmar Stadion in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 23 October (19:00 WAT) to face Almere City FC. Almere City FC are 9th with 0 points from 0 games (in the top half), while Roda sit 14th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Almere City FC's last 5: LWWLW Most recently they lost to Emmen 1–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Roda's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Jong Utrecht 2–1 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.6 for Almere City FC and 0.8 for Roda. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Almere City FC 57%, draw 24%, Roda 19%.
Safer route: Almere City FC or draw (81%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.57.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Almere City FC or draw – a 81% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Almere City FC 1–0 Roda. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Almere City FC57%fair 1.75 · @1.85
Draw24%fair 4.25 · @3.50
Roda19%fair 5.19 · @3.70
2.41Expected goals
1.61Almere City FC xG
0.80Roda xG
56%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–112%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Almere City FC 1.6 – 0.8 Roda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Almere City FC to win✗
57%
1.75
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Almere City FC or draw✗
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.80
1.57
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Almere City FC / FT Almere City FC✗
34%
2.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.93
–
Form
Almere City FC – last 6
LWWLWW
17 Oct
@ Emmen
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs FC Eindhoven
3–0
W
3 Oct
vs FC Volendam
1–0
W
25 Sep
@ Dordrecht
2–3
L
18 Sep
vs Heracles
1–0
W
11 Sep
@ MVV
4–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Roda – last 6
WDLWDW
19 Oct
@ Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Jong PSV U21
1–1
D
4 Oct
@ VVV Venlo
0–2
L
26 Sep
vs Waalwijk
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Jong Ajax
0–0
D
12 Sep
vs Vitesse
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Almere City FC and Roda.
What is the prediction for Almere City FC vs Roda?
Our pick is Almere City FC or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Almere City FC vs Roda?
On our numbers Almere City FC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Roda 19%.
How many goals will there be in Almere City FC vs Roda?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Almere City FC vs Roda?
Our predicted score is Almere City FC 1–0 Roda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Almere City FC vs Roda?
Almere City FC vs Roda (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Yanmar Stadion.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.