Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDe Graafschap to win ✗42% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.84
De Graafschap vs Waalwijk preview and prediction
The match
De Graafschap host Waalwijk in the Eerste Divisie on Friday 23 October, with kick-off at 19:00 (WAT) at De Vijverberg. De Graafschap are 1st with 0 points from 0 games (top of the table), while Waalwijk sit 12th on 0 points (in the bottom half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
De Graafschap's last 5: LWDWL Most recently they lost to Jong Ajax 1–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Waalwijk's last 5: DLDLW Most recently they drew with FC Volendam 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 1.8 for De Graafschap and 1.6 for Waalwijk. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 66% and both teams to score at 66%.
Betting angles
Win chances: De Graafschap 42%, draw 21%, Waalwijk 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (66%) at 1.36.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 66% chance at odds of 1.36. Predicted score: De Graafschap 1–1 Waalwijk. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
De Graafschap42%fair 2.39 · @2.45
Draw21%fair 4.74 · @3.80
Waalwijk37%fair 2.69 · @2.40
3.41Expected goals
1.76De Graafschap xG
1.65Waalwijk xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–15%
From our goals model: De Graafschap 1.8 – 1.6 Waalwijk expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
De Graafschap to win✗
42%
2.39
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
37%
2.72
–
Half-time / full-time
HT De Graafschap / FT De Graafschap✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.84
–
Form
De Graafschap – last 6
LWDWLW
19 Oct
@ Jong Ajax
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Jong Utrecht
2–1
W
3 Oct
@ FC Eindhoven
2–2
D
27 Sep
vs Den Bosch
1–0
W
20 Sep
vs NAC Breda
1–2
L
11 Sep
@ Emmen
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Waalwijk – last 6
DLDLWW
18 Oct
vs FC Volendam
1–1
D
9 Oct
@ Heracles
0–3
L
3 Oct
vs Emmen
1–1
D
26 Sep
@ Roda
0–2
L
18 Sep
vs MVV
6–1
W
11 Sep
@ Jong Ajax
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between De Graafschap and Waalwijk.
What is the prediction for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
On our numbers De Graafschap have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Waalwijk 37%.
How many goals will there be in De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
Our predicted score is De Graafschap 1–1 Waalwijk, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is De Graafschap vs Waalwijk?
De Graafschap vs Waalwijk (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vijverberg.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
