Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultDen Bosch to win ✗62% · @1.70
Double chanceDen Bosch or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · fair 1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.25
Den Bosch vs MVV preview and prediction
The match
The Eerste Divisie sees Den Bosch take on MVV on Friday 23 October, kicking off at 19:00 (WAT) at De Vliert. Den Bosch are 3rd with 0 points from 0 games (in the top four), while MVV sit 8th on 0 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Den Bosch's last 5: WWDLW Most recently they beat FC OSS 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
MVV's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Heracles 1–5 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Den Bosch arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.4 goals: 2.2 for Den Bosch and 1.1 for MVV. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score in 63% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Den Bosch 62%, draw 21%, MVV 17%.
Safer route: Den Bosch or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.44.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Den Bosch or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Den Bosch 2–1 MVV. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Den Bosch62%fair 1.61 · @1.70
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
MVV17%fair 5.97 · @4.00
3.36Expected goals
2.25Den Bosch xG
1.11MVV xG
63%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–110%
2–09%
1–19%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Den Bosch 2.2 – 1.1 MVV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Den Bosch to win✗
62%
1.61
1.70 ▲
Double chance
Den Bosch or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.44
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
–
Half-time result
Den Bosch ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Den Bosch / FT Den Bosch✗
41%
2.44
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.25
–
Form
Den Bosch – last 6
WWDLWL
16 Oct
vs FC OSS
2–1
W
9 Oct
@ Jong AZ
1–0
W
3 Oct
vs Dordrecht
1–1
D
27 Sep
@ De Graafschap
0–1
L
18 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ FC Volendam
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
MVV – last 6
LLLWLL
18 Oct
vs Heracles
1–5
L
9 Oct
@ NAC Breda
0–1
L
3 Oct
@ FC OSS
1–4
L
26 Sep
vs Helmond Sport
2–0
W
18 Sep
@ Waalwijk
1–6
L
11 Sep
vs Almere City FC
0–4
L
0.8Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Den Bosch and MVV.
Our pick is Den Bosch or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Den Bosch vs MVV?
On our numbers Den Bosch have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and MVV 17%.
How many goals will there be in Den Bosch vs MVV?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Den Bosch vs MVV?
Our predicted score is Den Bosch 2–1 MVV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Den Bosch vs MVV?
Den Bosch vs MVV (Eerste Divisie) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at De Vliert.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
