UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.26
8/10Rating
1.26Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUCV Moquegua to win53% · @1.74
Double chanceUCV Moquegua or draw79% · @1.16
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.82
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.03
UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Grau travel to Estadio 25 de Noviembre in the Primera División on Saturday 14 November (22:00 WAT) to face UCV Moquegua. UCV Moquegua are 17th with 12 points from 16 games (in the bottom three), while Atletico Grau sit 11th on 21 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
UCV Moquegua's last 5: DDLLW Most recently they drew with Universitario 2–2 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Atletico Grau's last 5: WLLDL Most recently they beat Cusco 3–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 29 May 2026, finished Atletico Grau 1–0 UCV Moquegua.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.3 for UCV Moquegua and 0.9 for Atletico Grau. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 57% likely.
Our pick: Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
UCV Moquegua53%fair 1.89 · @1.74
Draw27%fair 3.74 · @3.52
Atletico Grau21%fair 4.88 · @4.40
2.19Expected goals
1.27UCV Moquegua xG
0.91Atletico Grau xG
51%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: UCV Moquegua 1.3 – 0.9 Atletico Grau expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
Attack vs Primera División average
-43%
-17%
Goals conceded vs average
-4%
-5%
Our expected goals here
0.95
0.89
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
On our numbers UCV Moquegua have a 53% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Atletico Grau 21%.
How many goals will there be in UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
Our predicted score is UCV Moquegua 1–0 Atletico Grau, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau?
UCV Moquegua vs Atletico Grau (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio 25 de Noviembre.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
