Primera División · Peru · Estadio Juan Maldonado GamarraComerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.35 · bookmaker 1.22
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Comerciantes Unidos 1.8 – 0.9 Sport Boys expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Comerciantes Unidos are clear favourites at home with a 60% chance of winning, against 20% for Sport Boys.
Comerciantes Unidos have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (1W 4D 1L), scoring 1.5 and conceding 1.5 per game. Sport Boys have 8 points from their last 6 (2W 2D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
We expect around 2.7 goals (1.8 for Comerciantes Unidos, 0.9 for Sport Boys). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 59%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (12%), 2–0 (11%), 1–1 (11%).
In their last 1 meeting, Comerciantes Unidos have won 0, Sport Boys have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 1.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 74% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.22 is close to our fair price of 1.35.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Comerciantes Unidos to win | 60% | 1.66 | 1.74 ▲ |
| Double chance | Comerciantes Unidos or draw | 80% | 1.24 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 59% | 1.70 | 1.72 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 74% | 1.35 | 1.22 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 1.96 | 1.78 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 70% | 1.43 | 1.33 |
| Half-time result | Comerciantes Unidos ahead at half-time | 42% | 2.37 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Comerciantes Unidos / FT Comerciantes Unidos | 37% | 2.72 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 | 12% | 8.00 | – |
Form
Comerciantes Unidos – last 6
| 9 Nov | @ Deportivo Garcilaso | 0–0 | D |
| 3 Nov | vs ADT | 2–2 | D |
| 30 Oct | @ FBC Melgar | 1–1 | D |
| 25 Oct | vs Cienciano | 3–1 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Sporting Cristal | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Juan Pablo II College | 1–1 | D |
Sport Boys – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs UTC Cajamarca | 0–0 | D |
| 5 Nov | @ Universitario | 2–2 | D |
| 1 Nov | @ Cusco | 1–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | vs FC Cajamarca | 4–2 | W |
| 17 Oct | @ Juan Pablo II College | 0–2 | L |
| 11 Oct | vs Alianza Atletico | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Sport Boys v Comerciantes Unidos | 1–0 |
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
More Primera División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?
On our numbers Comerciantes Unidos have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Sport Boys 20%.
How many goals will there be in Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
When is Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys?
Comerciantes Unidos vs Sport Boys (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Juan Maldonado Gamarra.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.