Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFBC Melgar to win44% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.56
Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Atletico host FBC Melgar in the Primera División on Saturday 14 November, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Campeones del 36. Alianza Atletico are 7th with 28 points from 16 games (in the top half), while FBC Melgar sit 5th on 29 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Alianza Atletico's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to FC Cajamarca 0–2 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 2.2 conceded.
FBC Melgar's last 5: WLDWW Most recently they beat Juan Pablo II College 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished FBC Melgar 3–1 Alianza Atletico.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.4 for Alianza Atletico and 1.5 for FBC Melgar. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 56% and both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Our pick: Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Atletico33%fair 3.04 · @3.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.40
FBC Melgar44%fair 2.28 · @2.05
2.97Expected goals
1.44Alianza Atletico xG
1.53FBC Melgar xG
60%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Alianza Atletico 1.4 – 1.5 FBC Melgar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Attack vs Primera División average
+10%
+14%
Goals conceded vs average
+20%
-17%
Our expected goals here
1.59
1.53
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
On our numbers Alianza Atletico have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and FBC Melgar 44%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
Our predicted score is Alianza Atletico 1–1 FBC Melgar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar?
Alianza Atletico vs FBC Melgar (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Campeones del 36.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
