Primera División · Peru · Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo IIJuan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso prediction & analysis
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.55
Value bet: Deportivo Garcilaso to win @ 2.81 – our chance 39% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Juan Pablo II College 1.5 – 1.5 Deportivo Garcilaso expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Very little separates Juan Pablo II College and Deportivo Garcilaso on our numbers – 39% for the home side, 39% for the visitors and 23% for a draw. This is a match where the price matters more than the pick.
Juan Pablo II College have taken 7 points from their last 6 matches (2W 1D 3L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.2 per game. Deportivo Garcilaso have 7 points from their last 6 (2W 1D 3L), averaging 1.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for Juan Pablo II College, 1.5 for Deportivo Garcilaso). That points to an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on this projection. Most likely scores: 1–1 (11%), 1–2 (8%), 2–1 (8%).
In their last 1 meeting, Juan Pablo II College have won 0, Deportivo Garcilaso have won 1 and 0 ended level, with an average of 5.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Both teams to score at a 64% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.55 is close to our fair price of 1.57. For a bigger price, Deportivo Garcilaso to win at 2.81 is our value angle (39% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Deportivo Garcilaso to win | 39% | 2.58 | 2.81 ▲ |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 77% | 1.29 | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 64% | 1.57 | 1.55 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | 1.17 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.67 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.40 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 40% | 2.49 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Deportivo Garcilaso / FT Deportivo Garcilaso | 22% | 4.53 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–2 | 8% | 11.91 | – |
Form
Juan Pablo II College – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ FBC Melgar | 1–2 | L |
| 31 Oct | @ Alianza Atletico | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Oct | vs Sport Huancayo | 2–0 | W |
| 25 Oct | @ Universitario | 0–3 | L |
| 17 Oct | vs Sport Boys | 2–0 | W |
| 10 Oct | @ Comerciantes Unidos | 1–1 | D |
Deportivo Garcilaso – last 6
| 9 Nov | vs Comerciantes Unidos | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Nov | @ UTC Cajamarca | 3–2 | W |
| 28 Oct | @ Alianza Atletico | 2–3 | L |
| 26 Oct | vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 4–1 | W |
| 18 Oct | @ FBC Melgar | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs Sport Huancayo | 0–1 | L |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | Deportivo Garcilaso v Juan Pablo II College | 4–1 |
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
More Primera División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.
Who will win Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
On our numbers Juan Pablo II College have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Deportivo Garcilaso 39%.
How many goals will there be in Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
When is Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso?
Juan Pablo II College vs Deportivo Garcilaso (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Complejo Juan Pablo II.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.