Primera División · Peru · Estadio Heroes de San RamonUTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas prediction & analysis
Over 1.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.20
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: UTC Cajamarca 1.5 – 1.3 Club Deportivo Los Chankas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
UTC Cajamarca hold the edge on home soil with a 45% chance of winning, against 34% for Club Deportivo Los Chankas.
UTC Cajamarca have taken 4 points from their last 6 matches (1W 1D 4L), scoring 1.3 and conceding 1.7 per game. Club Deportivo Los Chankas have 6 points from their last 6 (1W 3D 2L), averaging 0.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
We expect around 2.9 goals (1.5 for UTC Cajamarca, 1.3 for Club Deportivo Los Chankas). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 60%. Most likely scores: 1–1 (12%), 2–1 (9%), 1–0 (9%).
In their last 1 meeting, UTC Cajamarca have won 0, Club Deportivo Los Chankas have won 0 and 1 ended level, with an average of 4.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals at a 77% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.20 is close to our fair price of 1.30.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | UTC Cajamarca to win | 45% | 2.24 | 2.16 |
| Double chance | Either team to win | 79% | 1.26 | 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 60% | 1.67 | 1.60 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 77% | 1.30 | 1.20 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 54% | 1.85 | 1.73 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 67% | 1.49 | 1.36 |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time | 41% | 2.46 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT UTC Cajamarca / FT UTC Cajamarca | 25% | 3.94 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–1 | 9% | 11.13 | – |
Form
UTC Cajamarca – last 6
| 8 Nov | @ Sport Boys | 0–0 | D |
| 2 Nov | vs Deportivo Garcilaso | 2–3 | L |
| 28 Oct | @ FC Cajamarca | 3–1 | W |
| 23 Oct | vs FBC Melgar | 1–2 | L |
| 19 Oct | @ Cienciano | 0–1 | L |
| 20 Sep | @ Sport Huancayo | 2–3 | L |
Club Deportivo Los Chankas – last 6
| 8 Nov | vs Alianza Lima | 1–1 | D |
| 1 Nov | @ UCV Moquegua | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Oct | vs Cusco | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Oct | @ Deportivo Garcilaso | 1–4 | L |
| 16 Oct | vs ADT | 2–1 | W |
| 8 Oct | @ Atletico Grau | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 31 May 2026 | Club Deportivo Los Chankas v UTC Cajamarca | 2–2 |
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
More Primera División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
On our numbers UTC Cajamarca have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Club Deportivo Los Chankas 34%.
How many goals will there be in UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
When is UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas?
UTC Cajamarca vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Heroes de San Ramon.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.