Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca prediction & analysis
62%
Footrivo pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.50
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 54% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAlianza Lima to win75% · @1.17
Double chanceAlianza Lima or draw91% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score54% · @2.25
GoalsOver 1.5 goals83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 11.38
Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca preview and prediction
The match
FC Cajamarca travel to Estadio Alejandro Villanueva in the Primera División on Saturday 14 November (22:00 WAT) to face Alianza Lima. Alianza Lima are 6th with 29 points from 16 games (in the top half), while FC Cajamarca sit 14th on 14 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Alianza Lima's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Club Deportivo Los Chankas 1–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
FC Cajamarca's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat Alianza Atletico 2–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Alianza Lima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 31 May 2026, finished FC Cajamarca 1–1 Alianza Lima.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.2 goals: 2.5 for Alianza Lima and 0.7 for FC Cajamarca. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score in 54% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Alianza Lima 75%, draw 16%, FC Cajamarca 9%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 2.25.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.25 – 54% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Prediction
Our pick: Over 2.5 goals – a 62% chance at odds of 1.50. Predicted score: Alianza Lima 3–0 FC Cajamarca. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Alianza Lima75%fair 1.33 · @1.17
Draw16%fair 6.30 · @6.50
FC Cajamarca9%fair 11.41 · @13.00
3.16Expected goals
2.49Alianza Lima xG
0.67FC Cajamarca xG
54%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–013%
3–011%
1–011%
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 2.5 – 0.7 FC Cajamarca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Footrivo team ratings
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Attack vs Primera División average
+9%
-13%
Goals conceded vs average
-33%
+42%
Our expected goals here
2.69
0.65
Our own ratings from every Primera División result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 16% and FC Cajamarca 9%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 3–0 FC Cajamarca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca?
Alianza Lima vs FC Cajamarca (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
