Primera División · Peru · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la VegaCusco vs ADT prediction & analysis
Under 3.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.46
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Cusco 2.0 – 0.8 ADT expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Cusco are clear favourites at home with a 67% chance of winning, against 16% for ADT.
Cusco have taken 6 points from their last 6 matches (2W 0D 4L), scoring 1.0 and conceding 1.5 per game. ADT have 7 points from their last 6 (1W 4D 1L), averaging 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded.
We expect around 2.8 goals (2.0 for Cusco, 0.8 for ADT). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 56%, both teams to score at 51%. Most likely scores: 2–0 (12%), 1–0 (12%), 2–1 (10%).
In their last 1 meeting, Cusco have won 1, ADT have won 0 and 0 ended level, with an average of 3.0 goals per game.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals at a 65% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.46 is close to our fair price of 1.53.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Cusco to win | 67% | 1.50 | 1.39 |
| Double chance | Cusco or draw | 84% | 1.19 | 1.06 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score | 51% | 1.95 | 1.82 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals | 78% | 1.28 | 1.16 |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Over 2.5 goals | 56% | 1.79 | 1.62 |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals | 65% | 1.53 | 1.46 |
| Half-time result | Cusco ahead at half-time | 47% | 2.14 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Cusco / FT Cusco | 42% | 2.39 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 2–0 | 12% | 8.42 | – |
Form
Cusco – last 6
| 6 Nov | @ Atletico Grau | 0–3 | L |
| 1 Nov | vs Sport Boys | 0–1 | L |
| 29 Oct | @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Oct | vs Sporting Cristal | 3–1 | W |
| 16 Oct | @ Sport Huancayo | 1–2 | L |
| 12 Oct | vs Alianza Lima | 1–2 | L |
ADT – last 6
| 7 Nov | vs Sporting Cristal | 1–1 | D |
| 3 Nov | @ Comerciantes Unidos | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Oct | vs UCV Moquegua | 2–0 | W |
| 23 Oct | @ Atletico Grau | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Oct | @ Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 1–2 | L |
| 10 Oct | vs FC Cajamarca | 0–0 | D |
Head to head
| 30 May 2026 | ADT v Cusco | 1–2 |
Primera División table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 33 | +30 | 69 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 33 | +20 | 61 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 33 | +18 | 57 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 33 | +15 | 55 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 33 | -1 | 51 |
| 6 |  Sporting Cristal | 33 | +14 | 50 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 33 | +8 | 50 |
| 8 |  Sport Huancayo | 33 | -1 | 50 |
| 9 |  Alianza Atletico | 33 | +1 | 49 |
| 10 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 33 | -12 | 48 |
| 11 |  Sport Boys | 33 | +2 | 46 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 33 | -11 | 41 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 33 | -3 | 37 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 33 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 |  ADT | 33 | -11 | 34 |
| 16 |  FC Cajamarca | 33 | -19 | 31 |
| 17 |  UCV Moquegua | 33 | -21 | 30 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 33 | -20 | 19 |
More Primera División predictions
League hubFrequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Cusco vs ADT?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.46.
Who will win Cusco vs ADT?
On our numbers Cusco have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 17% and ADT 16%.
How many goals will there be in Cusco vs ADT?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
When is Cusco vs ADT?
Cusco vs ADT (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 14 November 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.