Madagascar host Tanzania in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 15:00 (WAT) at Stade d'Honneur. Madagascar are 4th with 2 points from 6 games, while Tanzania sit 2nd on 10 points.
Form guide
Madagascar's last 3: LLD Most recently they lost to Nigeria 1–2 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Tanzania's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Guinea-Bissau 0–2 at home. Goals have not been a problem: 2.0 per game.
Tanzania arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.0 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Madagascar and 1.2 for Tanzania. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Madagascar 38%, draw 26%, Tanzania 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.83, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Madagascar 1–1 Tanzania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Madagascar38%fair 2.66 · @2.38
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.80
Tanzania36%fair 2.74 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.26Madagascar xG
1.24Tanzania xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Madagascar 1.3 – 1.2 Tanzania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Madagascar to win✗
38%
2.66
2.38
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Madagascar / FT Madagascar✗
21%
4.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.66
–
Form
Madagascar – last 3
LLD
25 Sep
@ Nigeria
1–2
L
2 Jun
@ Morocco
0–4
L
31 Mar
@ Equatorial Guinea
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Tanzania – last 3
LWL
25 Sep
vs Guinea-Bissau
0–2
L
29 Mar
@ Mação
6–0
W
26 Mar
vs Liechtenstein
0–1
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Madagascar and Tanzania.
What is the prediction for Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Madagascar vs Tanzania?
On our numbers Madagascar have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Tanzania 36%.
How many goals will there be in Madagascar vs Tanzania?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Our predicted score is Madagascar 1–1 Tanzania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Madagascar vs Tanzania?
Madagascar vs Tanzania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade d'Honneur.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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