Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Comoros to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultComoros to win ✓63% · @1.91
Double chanceComoros or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.81
Comoros vs Namibia preview and prediction
The match
The Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification sees Comoros take on Namibia on Tuesday 29 September, kicking off at 14:00 (WAT) at Stade omnisports de Malouzini. Comoros are 1st with 12 points from 6 games, while Namibia sit 4th on 2 points.
Form guide
Comoros's last 3: LWL Most recently they lost to Cameroon 1–3 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Comoros and 0.7 for Namibia. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Comoros 63%, draw 22%, Namibia 15%.
Safer route: Comoros or draw (85%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.20.
Value angle: Comoros to win at 1.91 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Comoros or draw – a 85% chance at odds of 1.20, above our fair price of 1.17, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Comoros 1–0 Namibia. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Comoros63%fair 1.58 · @1.91
Draw22%fair 4.56 · @2.80
Namibia15%fair 6.85 · @4.00
2.50Expected goals
1.79Comoros xG
0.71Namibia xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Comoros 1.8 – 0.7 Namibia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Comoros to win✓
63%
1.58
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Comoros or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
2.20 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Comoros ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Comoros / FT Comoros✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
15%
6.81
–
Form
Comoros – last 3
LWL
24 Sep
@ Cameroon
1–3
L
8 Jun
@ Equatorial Guinea
1–0
W
31 Mar
@ Kazakhstan
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Namibia – last 2
WL
24 Sep
vs Congo
1–0
W
25 Mar
@ Kazakhstan
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Comoros and Namibia.
Our pick is Comoros or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Comoros vs Namibia?
On our numbers Comoros have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Namibia 15%.
How many goals will there be in Comoros vs Namibia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Comoros vs Namibia?
Our predicted score is Comoros 1–0 Namibia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Comoros vs Namibia?
Comoros vs Namibia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade omnisports de Malouzini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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