Ghana vs Gambia prediction & analysis
Ghana to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Ghana 1.7 – 0.8 Gambia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Ghana are clear favourites at home with a 62% chance of winning, against 19% for Gambia.
Ghana have taken 5 points from their last 6 matches (1W 2D 3L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Gambia have 3 points from their last 3 (1W 0D 2L), averaging 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
We expect around 2.5 goals (1.7 for Ghana, 0.8 for Gambia). That is close to an average game for goals: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 52%. Most likely scores: 1–0 (14%), 2–0 (12%), 1–1 (11%).
Our pick is Ghana to win at a 62% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.44 is close to our fair price of 1.60. For a bigger price, Both teams to score at 2.10 is our value angle (52% on our numbers).
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Ghana to win ✗ | 62% | 1.60 | 1.44 |
| Double chance | Either team to win ✓ | 82% | 1.23 | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | Both teams to score ✓ | 52% | 1.94 | 2.10 ▲ |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Over 1.5 goals ✓ | 71% | 1.40 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 54% | 1.84 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 76% | 1.32 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✓ | 43% | 2.35 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Ghana / FT Ghana ✗ | 37% | 2.69 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 14% | 7.08 | – |
Form
Ghana – last 6
| 24 Sep | @ Ivory Coast | 0–2 | L |
| 4 Jul | @ Colombia | 0–1 | L |
| 27 Jun | @ Croatia | 1–2 | L |
| 23 Jun | @ England | 0–0 | D |
| 18 Jun | vs Panama | 1–0 | W |
| 2 Jun | @ Wales | 1–1 | D |
Gambia – last 3
| 25 Sep | vs Somalia | 2–1 | W |
| 29 May | @ Iran | 1–3 | L |
| 31 Mar | @ Senegal | 1–3 | L |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ghana and Gambia.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Comoros | 6 | +3 | 12 |
| 2 |  Tunisia | 6 | +1 | 10 |
| 3 |  Gambia | 6 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 |  Madagascar | 6 | -4 | 2 |
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Rwanda2Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Ghana vs Gambia?
Our pick is Ghana to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Ghana vs Gambia?
On our numbers Ghana have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Gambia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Ghana vs Gambia?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
When is Ghana vs Gambia?
Ghana vs Gambia (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Accra Sports Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.