Mozambique vs Sudan prediction & analysis
Mozambique to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.63 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
Win chances
Most likely scores
From our goals model: Mozambique 1.2 – 0.3 Sudan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our analysis
Mozambique are clear favourites at home with a 61% chance of winning, against 15% for Sudan.
Mozambique have taken 1 points from their last 2 matches (0W 1D 1L), scoring 0.5 and conceding 1.0 per game. Sudan have 3 points from their last 1 (1W 0D 0L), averaging 1.0 scored and 0.0 conceded. Sudan come into this in clearly the better form.
We expect around 1.5 goals (1.2 for Mozambique, 0.3 for Sudan). That points to a tight, low-scoring game – under 2.5 goals is 81% likely and at least one clean sheet is the more likely outcome. Most likely scores: 1–0 (26%), 0–0 (22%), 2–0 (15%).
Our pick is Mozambique to win at a 61% chance – the bookmaker price of 1.91 is better than our fair price of 1.63, so there is value in it.
Every market, with fair odds
| Market | Most likely | Chance | Fair odds | Bookmaker |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Match result | Mozambique to win ✓ | 61% | 1.63 | 1.91 ▲ |
| Double chance | Mozambique or draw ✓ | 85% | 1.17 | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | Not both teams to score ✗ | 57% | 1.74 | 1.53 |
| Over/under 1.5 goals | Under 1.5 goals ✗ | 56% | 1.79 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 goals | Under 2.5 goals ✗ | 81% | 1.24 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 goals | Under 3.5 goals ✗ | 93% | 1.07 | – |
| Half-time result | Level at half-time ✗ | 56% | 1.80 | – |
| Half-time / full-time | HT Mozambique / FT Mozambique ✓ | 33% | 3.02 | – |
| Correct score | Correct score 1–0 ✗ | 26% | 3.85 | – |
Form
Mozambique – last 2
| 25 Sep | vs Senegal | 1–1 | D |
| 9 Jun | @ Indonesia | 0–1 | L |
Sudan – last 1
| 25 Sep | vs Ethiopia | 1–0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mozambique and Sudan.
Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification table
| # | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Angola | 6 | +5 | 14 |
| 2 |  Sudan | 6 | -2 | 8 |
| 3 |  Niger | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 4 |  Ghana | 6 | -4 | 3 |
More Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification predictions
League hub
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South Sudan0
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Rwanda2
Gambia4Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Mozambique vs Sudan?
Our pick is Mozambique to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Mozambique vs Sudan?
On our numbers Mozambique have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sudan 15%.
How many goals will there be in Mozambique vs Sudan?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
When is Mozambique vs Sudan?
Mozambique vs Sudan (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.