Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNigeria to win ✗67% · @1.44
Double chanceNigeria or draw ✗88% · @1.08
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria preview and prediction
The match
Nigeria travel to Estádio 24 de Setembro in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 29 September (17:00 WAT) to face Guinea-Bissau. Guinea-Bissau are 3rd with 5 points from 6 games, while Nigeria sit 1st on 11 points.
Form guide
Nigeria's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Madagascar 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 0.6 for Guinea-Bissau and 1.9 for Nigeria. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 49%.
Our pre-match pick was Nigeria to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Guinea-Bissau 0–1 Nigeria. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Guinea-Bissau12%fair 8.15 · @7.00
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.50
Nigeria67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
2.50Expected goals
0.64Guinea-Bissau xG
1.86Nigeria xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–115%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–39%
0–08%
From our goals model: Guinea-Bissau 0.6 – 1.9 Nigeria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nigeria to win✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Double chance
Nigeria or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.95
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Nigeria ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nigeria / FT Nigeria✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Guinea-Bissau – last 2
WD
25 Sep
@ Tanzania
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Burkina Faso
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nigeria – last 6
WLDWDW
25 Sep
vs Madagascar
2–1
W
10 Jun
@ Portugal
1–2
L
3 Jun
@ Poland
2–2
D
26 May
vs Zimbabwe
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Jordan
2–2
D
27 Mar
@ Iran
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guinea-Bissau and Nigeria.
What is the prediction for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Our pick is Nigeria to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
On our numbers Guinea-Bissau have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Nigeria 67%.
How many goals will there be in Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Our predicted score is Guinea-Bissau 0–1 Nigeria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria?
Guinea-Bissau vs Nigeria (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Estádio 24 de Setembro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Burundi2
Algeria2
Comoros1
Namibia0
Ethiopia0
Senegal1
Lesotho0
Morocco2
Mozambique4
Sudan1
South Sudan0
Egypt5
Madagascar1
Tanzania1
Cape Verde Islands1