Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.30 – our chance 50% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultGabon to win ✓64% · @1.57
Double chanceGabon or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.30
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.86
Gabon vs Niger preview and prediction
The match
Gabon host Niger in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 29 September, with kick-off at 20:00 (WAT) at Stade de Franceville. Gabon are 2nd with 10 points from 6 games, while Niger sit 3rd on 7 points. Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Niger's last 5: WLDLD Most recently they beat Lesotho 2–1 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Gabon and 0.7 for Niger. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gabon 64%, draw 20%, Niger 16%.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.30.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.30 – 50% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gabon to win – a 64% chance at odds of 1.57. Predicted score: Gabon 1–0 Niger. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gabon64%fair 1.56 · @1.57
Draw20%fair 5.07 · @3.30
Niger16%fair 6.15 · @6.00
2.50Expected goals
1.78Gabon xG
0.72Niger xG
50%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
2–013%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Gabon 1.8 – 0.7 Niger expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gabon to win✓
64%
1.56
1.57
Double chance
Gabon or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
2.30 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Gabon ahead at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gabon / FT Gabon✗
39%
2.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.86
–
Form
Gabon – last 2
LL
25 Sep
@ Morocco
0–2
L
27 Mar
@ Uzbekistan
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Niger – last 5
WLDLD
25 Sep
vs Lesotho
2–1
W
8 Jun
vs Mauritania
0–1
L
5 Jun
@ Benin
1–1
D
31 Mar
vs Togo
0–1
L
27 Mar
@ Libya
0–0
D
0.6Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gabon and Niger.
Our pick is Gabon to win with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Gabon vs Niger?
On our numbers Gabon have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Niger 16%.
How many goals will there be in Gabon vs Niger?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gabon vs Niger?
Our predicted score is Gabon 1–0 Niger, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Gabon vs Niger?
Gabon vs Niger (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Franceville.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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