Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 2.05 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.05Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultMauritania to win ✗38% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.40
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @2.05
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.77
Benin vs Mauritania preview and prediction
The match
Mauritania travel to Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara in the Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification on Tuesday 29 September (18:00 WAT) to face Benin. Benin are 2nd with 8 points from 6 games, while Mauritania sit 3rd on 7 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Benin's last 5: DLDWW Most recently they drew with Burkina Faso 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.4 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Mauritania's last 4: WWDL Most recently they beat Central African Republic 3–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 1.5 for Benin and 1.5 for Mauritania. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score in 60% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Benin 36%, draw 26%, Mauritania 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 2.05.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 60% chance at odds of 2.05, above our fair price of 1.68, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Benin 1–1 Mauritania. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Benin36%fair 2.77 · @2.40
Draw26%fair 3.82 · @2.75
Mauritania38%fair 2.66 · @3.00
3.00Expected goals
1.48Benin xG
1.52Mauritania xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–18%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Benin 1.5 – 1.5 Mauritania expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mauritania to win✗
38%
2.66
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
74%
1.35
1.40
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
60%
1.68
2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.52
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mauritania / FT Mauritania✗
23%
4.40
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.77
–
Form
Benin – last 5
DLDWW
25 Sep
@ Burkina Faso
1–1
D
9 Jun
@ Togo
1–5
L
5 Jun
vs Niger
1–1
D
31 Mar
@ Guinea
1–0
W
27 Mar
vs Liberia
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Mauritania – last 4
WWDL
24 Sep
vs Central African Republic
3–1
W
8 Jun
@ Niger
1–0
W
5 Jun
@ Angola
1–1
D
28 Mar
@ Argentina
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benin and Mauritania.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Benin vs Mauritania?
On our numbers Benin have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Mauritania 38%.
How many goals will there be in Benin vs Mauritania?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benin vs Mauritania?
Our predicted score is Benin 1–1 Mauritania, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Benin vs Mauritania?
Benin vs Mauritania (Africa Cup Of Nations Qualification) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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