Fakel travel to Trud Stadium in the First League on Saturday 16 May (11:00 WAT) to face Volga Ulyanovsk.
Form guide
Volga Ulyanovsk's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to FK Sokol Saratov 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 5. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Fakel's last 5: DDDLW Most recently they drew with Ska-khabarovsk 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 0.6 for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.7 for Fakel. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Volga Ulyanovsk 14%, draw 20%, Fakel 67%.
Safer route: Fakel or draw (86%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (50%) at 2.08.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Fakel to win – a 67% chance at odds of 1.72, above our fair price of 1.49, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Volga Ulyanovsk 0–1 Fakel. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Volga Ulyanovsk14%fair 7.39 · @4.80
Draw20%fair 5.13 · @3.45
Fakel67%fair 1.49 · @1.72
2.25Expected goals
0.56Volga Ulyanovsk xG
1.70Fakel xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–118%
0–215%
0–011%
1–110%
0–39%
1–28%
From our goals model: Volga Ulyanovsk 0.6 – 1.7 Fakel expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Fakel to win
67%
1.49
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Fakel or draw
86%
1.16
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
50%
2.00
2.08
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
66%
1.52
1.37
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
60%
1.67
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
79%
1.26
1.16
Half-time result
Fakel ahead at half-time
45%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Fakel / FT Fakel
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
8%
11.87
–
Form
Volga Ulyanovsk – last 6
LWLDWD
3 May
vs FK Sokol Saratov
0–1
L
22 Apr
vs Chayka
2–1
W
12 Apr
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
0–1
L
5 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
1–1
D
28 Mar
vs Spartak Kostroma
1–0
W
15 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–2
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Fakel – last 6
DDDLWW
8 May
vs Ska-khabarovsk
0–0
D
27 Apr
@ Torpedo Moskva
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Shinnik Yaroslavl
2–2
D
13 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
1–3
L
5 Apr
@ Arsenal Tula
2–1
W
1 Apr
@ FK Neftekhimik
2–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Volga Ulyanovsk and Fakel.
What is the prediction for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
Our pick is Fakel to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.72.
Who will win Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
On our numbers Volga Ulyanovsk have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Fakel 67%.
How many goals will there be in Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
Our predicted score is Volga Ulyanovsk 0–1 Fakel, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel?
Volga Ulyanovsk vs Fakel (First League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Trud Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodina Moskva2
Chernomorets1
FK Sokol Saratov0
Chayka0