Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 16 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultFK Neftekhimik to win ✗40% · @2.80

Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.34

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.81

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.20

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.14

Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik preview and prediction

The match

The First League sees Ska-khabarovsk take on FK Neftekhimik on Saturday 16 May, kicking off at 08:00 (WAT) at Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina. Ska-khabarovsk are 15th with 16 points from 17 games (in the bottom half), while FK Neftekhimik sit 17th on 13 points (in the bottom three). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.

Form guide

Ska-khabarovsk's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Fakel 0–0 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.

FK Neftekhimik's last 5: LLWDL Most recently they lost to Chelyabinsk 0–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for Ska-khabarovsk and 1.3 for FK Neftekhimik. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 51%.

Betting angles

Win chances: Ska-khabarovsk 35%, draw 25%, FK Neftekhimik 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.81.
Value angle: FK Neftekhimik to win at 2.80 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Ska-khabarovsk 1–1 FK Neftekhimik. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Ska-khabarovsk35%fair 2.90 · @2.55

Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.04

FK Neftekhimik40%fair 2.49 · @2.80

2.42Expected goals

1.15Ska-khabarovsk xG

1.27FK Neftekhimik xG

51%Both score

44%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

0–111%

1–010%

0–09%

1–28%

2–17%

From our goals model: Ska-khabarovsk 1.2 – 1.3 FK Neftekhimik expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	FK Neftekhimik to win ✗	40%	2.49	2.80 ▲
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	75%	1.34	1.34
Both teams to score	Both teams to score ✗	51%	1.95	1.81
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	69%	1.44	1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	56%	1.78	1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	76%	1.31	1.20
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	45%	2.23	–
Half-time / full-time	HT FK Neftekhimik / FT FK Neftekhimik ✗	22%	4.46	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–2 ✗	8%	12.14	–

Form

Ska-khabarovsk – last 6

DLLDLL

8 May	@ Fakel	0–0	D
22 Apr	@ Spartak Kostroma	0–3	L
18 Apr	vs Rotor Volgograd	1–2	L
5 Apr	vs Volga Ulyanovsk	1–1	D
30 Mar	@ Torpedo Moskva	1–4	L
22 Mar	vs Arsenal Tula	1–3	L

0.7Scored / game

2.2Conceded / game

67%Both scored

67%Over 2.5

FK Neftekhimik – last 6

LLWDLL

2 May	@ Chelyabinsk	0–2	L
26 Apr	@ Enisey	0–2	L
22 Apr	vs Chernomorets	4–0	W
10 Apr	@ KAMAZ	0–0	D
5 Apr	@ Rotor Volgograd	1–3	L
1 Apr	vs Fakel	0–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	+37	46
2	Ural	17	10	4	3	+18	34
3	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	+16	32
4	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	+6	32
5	Veles	18	9	4	5	+2	31
6	Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	+2	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	18	6	4	8	-3	22
10	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	+5	21
11	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	-15	19
13	Leningradets	17	4	6	7	-11	18
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	17	3	5	9	-9	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	-17	11

Team

Pts

+37

+18

+16

-3

-4

-15

-11

-14

-5

-9

-14

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?

On our numbers Ska-khabarovsk have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FK Neftekhimik 40%.

How many goals will there be in Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?

Our predicted score is Ska-khabarovsk 1–1 FK Neftekhimik, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik?

Ska-khabarovsk vs FK Neftekhimik (First League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 08:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion imeni V.I. Lenina.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

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