Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA Prediction, Odds & Analysis – 16 May 2026

Quick tips for this match

ResultSpartak Kostroma to win41% · @2.27

Double chanceEither team to win75% · @1.33

Both teams scoreBoth teams to score53% · @2.05

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.12

Correct scoreCorrect score 2–18% · fair 12.57

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA preview and prediction

The match

Spartak Kostroma host FC UFA in the First League on Saturday 16 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Stadion Urozhay. Spartak Kostroma are 6th with 28 points from 17 games (in the top half), while FC UFA sit 8th on 22 points (in the top half).

Form guide

Spartak Kostroma's last 5: DLWLD Most recently they drew with FK Sokol Saratov 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.3 conceded.

FC UFA's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat Rotor Volgograd 1–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Spartak Kostroma and 1.1 for FC UFA. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.

Betting angles

Win chances: Spartak Kostroma 41%, draw 25%, FC UFA 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.05.
Value angle: FC UFA to win at 3.16 – 35% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.43. Predicted score: Spartak Kostroma 1–1 FC UFA. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

Spartak Kostroma41%fair 2.47 · @2.27

Draw25%fair 4.08 · @3.10

FC UFA35%fair 2.86 · @3.16

2.29Expected goals

1.20Spartak Kostroma xG

1.09FC UFA xG

53%Both score

39%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%

1–012%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

2–07%

From our goals model: Spartak Kostroma 1.2 – 1.1 FC UFA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Spartak Kostroma to win	41%	2.47	2.27
Double chance	Either team to win	75%	1.32	1.33
Both teams to score	Both teams to score	53%	1.90	2.05 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals	65%	1.54	1.43
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals	61%	1.64	1.51
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals	81%	1.24	1.12
Half-time result	Level at half-time	46%	2.16	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Spartak Kostroma / FT Spartak Kostroma	22%	4.55	–
Correct score	Correct score 2–1	8%	12.57	–

Form

Spartak Kostroma – last 6

DLWLDD

10 May	@ FK Sokol Saratov	1–1	D
1 May	@ KAMAZ	0–2	L
22 Apr	vs Ska-khabarovsk	3–0	W
28 Mar	@ Volga Ulyanovsk	0–1	L
22 Mar	vs Shinnik Yaroslavl	1–1	D
7 Mar	@ Chelyabinsk	3–3	D

1.3Scored / game

1.3Conceded / game

50%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

FC UFA – last 6

WLDDLW

10 May	vs Rotor Volgograd	1–0	W
22 Apr	vs KAMAZ	0–1	L
12 Apr	@ Ural	0–0	D
6 Apr	vs Torpedo Moskva	1–1	D
28 Mar	@ Enisey	0–1	L
15 Mar	vs FK Sokol Saratov	2–0	W

0.7Scored / game

0.5Conceded / game

17%Both scored

0%Over 2.5

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nizhny Novgorod	17	15	1	1	+37	46
2	Ural	17	10	4	3	+18	34
3	Torpedo Moskva	17	9	5	3	+16	32
4	FC Sochi	17	10	2	5	+6	32
5	Veles	18	9	4	5	+2	31
6	Spartak Kostroma	17	8	4	5	+2	28
7	Shinnik Yaroslavl	17	6	8	3	+4	26
8	FC UFA	17	5	7	5	+2	22
9	Volga Ulyanovsk	18	6	4	8	-3	22
10	Rotor Volgograd	17	5	6	6	+5	21
11	Chelyabinsk	17	6	3	8	-4	21
12	Arsenal Tula	17	5	4	8	-15	19
13	Leningradets	17	4	6	7	-11	18
14	Enisey	17	4	5	8	-14	17
15	Ska-khabarovsk	17	4	4	9	-5	16
16	KAMAZ	17	3	5	9	-9	14
17	FK Neftekhimik	17	4	1	12	-14	13
18	Tekstilshchik	17	2	5	10	-17	11

Team

Pts

+37

+18

+16

-3

-4

-15

-11

-14

-5

-9

-14

-17

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.43.

Who will win Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

On our numbers Spartak Kostroma have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and FC UFA 35%.

How many goals will there be in Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Our predicted score is Spartak Kostroma 1–1 FC UFA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.

When is Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA?

Spartak Kostroma vs FC UFA (First League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Urozhay.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.

By day

Match result

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Exact outcomes