Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.26 – our chance 51% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultRotor Volgograd to win66% · @1.36
Double chanceRotor Volgograd or draw86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @2.26
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals73% · @1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–19% · fair 10.62
Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka preview and prediction
The match
Rotor Volgograd host Chayka in the First League on Saturday 16 May, with kick-off at 11:00 (WAT) at Volgograd Arena.
Form guide
Rotor Volgograd's last 5: LDWWW Most recently they lost to FC UFA 0–1 away. They are scoring freely – 2.2 goals a game.
Chayka's last 5: LLLWL Most recently they lost to Chernomorets 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.5 conceded.
Rotor Volgograd arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Rotor Volgograd and 0.7 for Chayka. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 51%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.26 – 51% on our numbers against 44% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.26. Predicted score: Rotor Volgograd 1–0 Chayka. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Rotor Volgograd66%fair 1.53 · @1.36
Draw20%fair 4.94 · @4.50
Chayka14%fair 7.04 · @8.20
2.58Expected goals
1.87Rotor Volgograd xG
0.71Chayka xG
51%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–08%
0–08%
From our goals model: Rotor Volgograd 1.9 – 0.7 Chayka expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rotor Volgograd to win
66%
1.53
1.36
Double chance
Rotor Volgograd or draw
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.95
2.26 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.27
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
52%
1.92
1.81
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
73%
1.37
1.26
Half-time result
Rotor Volgograd ahead at half-time
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rotor Volgograd / FT Rotor Volgograd
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.62
–
Form
Rotor Volgograd – last 6
LDWWWW
10 May
@ FC UFA
0–1
L
4 May
@ Arsenal Tula
2–2
D
22 Apr
vs Rodina Moskva
2–0
W
18 Apr
@ Ska-khabarovsk
2–1
W
5 Apr
vs FK Neftekhimik
3–1
W
29 Mar
@ Chernomorets
4–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Chayka – last 6
LLLWLW
8 May
vs Chernomorets
0–2
L
22 Apr
@ Volga Ulyanovsk
1–2
L
5 Apr
@ Ural
0–5
L
29 Mar
vs Chelyabinsk
2–1
W
23 Mar
@ Rodina Moskva
2–5
L
7 Mar
vs FK Sokol Saratov
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rotor Volgograd and Chayka.
What is the prediction for Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.26.
Who will win Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
On our numbers Rotor Volgograd have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Chayka 14%.
How many goals will there be in Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
Our predicted score is Rotor Volgograd 1–0 Chayka, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka?
Rotor Volgograd vs Chayka (First League) kicks off on Saturday 16 May 2026 at 11:00 (West Africa Time) at Volgograd Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Rodina Moskva2
Chernomorets1
FK Sokol Saratov0
Fakel0