Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.35 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 52% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa RJ to win ✗66% · @1.35
Double chancePortuguesa RJ or draw ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.10
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.88
Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ preview and prediction
The match
Portuguesa RJ host América RJ in the Serie D on Saturday 30 May, with kick-off at 23:00 (WAT) at Estadio Luso Brasileiro.
Form guide
Portuguesa RJ's last 5: DLWWD Most recently they drew with Madureira 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
América RJ's last 4: LLWW Most recently they lost to Resende 0–3 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 1.0 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Portuguesa RJ and 0.8 for América RJ. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 52%, both teams to score at 52%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portuguesa RJ 66%, draw 21%, América RJ 13%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.10 – 52% on our numbers against 48% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Portuguesa RJ to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.35. Predicted score: Portuguesa RJ 1–0 América RJ. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portuguesa RJ66%fair 1.53 · @1.35
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.80
América RJ13%fair 7.64 · @9.00
2.75Expected goals
1.98Portuguesa RJ xG
0.77América RJ xG
52%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–06%
From our goals model: Portuguesa RJ 2.0 – 0.8 América RJ expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa RJ to win✗
66%
1.53
1.35
Double chance
Portuguesa RJ or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.93
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Half-time result
Portuguesa RJ ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa RJ / FT Portuguesa RJ✗
42%
2.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.88
–
Form
Portuguesa RJ – last 6
DLWWDW
18 Apr
vs Madureira
0–0
D
12 Mar
@ Paysandu
1–3
L
5 Mar
vs Maracanã
1–0
W
3 Mar
vs Sampaio Corrêa RJ
2–0
W
26 Feb
@ Nova Iguaçu
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ CFRJ Maricá
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
América RJ – last 4
LLWW
27 May
@ Resende
0–3
L
20 May
vs CFRJ Maricá
0–1
L
13 May
@ Pérolas Negras
2–0
W
6 May
@ Audax Rio
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portuguesa RJ and América RJ.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ?
Our pick is Portuguesa RJ to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ?
On our numbers Portuguesa RJ have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and América RJ 13%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa RJ 1–0 América RJ, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ?
Portuguesa RJ vs América RJ (Serie D) kicks off on Saturday 30 May 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Luso Brasileiro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Serie D · Brazil · Estadio Luso Brasileiro
Água Santa4
Madureira1
Aparecidense1
Primavera MG1
Iguatu2
Parnahyba2
Joinville2
Guarany de Bagé0
ABECAT Ouvidorense2
Ipatinga1
Porto BA1
Tombense3
Pouso Alegre1
Portuguesa2
Vitória ES1
Real Noroeste1